这一跌很有意思

iceriver

今天的这一跌很有意思，FA上没什么坏消息，却在MAD后来了一个MDD，而且基本上是一路走低，量却很少。既然是出货，为什么MM不先拉起，多骗点散户，然后在高位出货呢？既然是害怕明天数据不好，为什么不多出点货呢？俺总觉得有bear trap的意味。Anyway，还是静观其变，等待，等待。

COS

快准狠

dreampen

ppteam

I don't think it's bear trap. Short term bulls just got out.
If a trap exists, that's for bulls. Everyone expects followthrough after MAD, they got nothing, absolutely nothing. ES gap didn't even get filled.

No big players are playing this market, all are HFT.
MM just cannot do everything, if they exist.

Diffusion

I don't think it's bear trap. Short term bulls just got out.
If a trap exists, that's for bulls. E ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-30 23:53

   

ppteam

回复 6# Diffusion

If Fri rally was done by strong bulls, they would defend their stops.
Did you see this happen today?

of course you can argue that's bear trap.

Diffusion

回复  Diffusion

If Fri rally was done by strong bulls, they would defend their stops.
Did you  ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-30 23:59

    I'm with you that Fri is a bull trap. Forgot my bear flag post last night?
As I said, the market is a ghost town right now, be there and be scared.

iceriver

You may be right. Either last Friday is a bull trap or today is a bear trap,  

I personally feel the latter one has higher probability than the former one according to my own indicators. I could be very wrong. Tomorrow should be the key day.

I don't think it's bear trap. Short term bulls just got out.
If a trap exists, that's for bulls. E ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-30 23:53

ppteam

回复 9# iceriver

I think market might be in range till big guys come back.

ppteam

回复 8# Diffusion

that's why DT is the only way to go these days.

Diffusion

回复  Diffusion

that's why DT is the only way to go these days.
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-31 00:16

    Or NT (no trade). At least enjoy some peaceful life day and night.

iceriver

Exactly, hehe.

Or NT (no trade).  At least enjoy some peaceful life day and night.
Diffusion 发表于 2010-8-31 00:18

ppteam

回复 12# Diffusion

yeah, it's impossible to timing the market. I  think the market is going down more, it's not bad to hold some midterm puts.

Diffusion

Exactly, hehe.
iceriver 发表于 2010-8-31 00:21

   

Diffusion

回复  Diffusion

yeah, it's impossible to timing the market. I  think the market is going down mo ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-31 00:21

    A couple of days ago jsl asked what's the best strategy in this market. I remembered that my answer was "follow trend, sit tight". If you think like a philosopher, NT has a second fold of meaning, which is to hold some short position tightly, don't trade and lose your position.

iceriver

Do you think when the bonds market start to pullback, hot money will come back to stock markets?

回复  iceriver

I think market might be in range till big guys come back.
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-31 00:15

abaqus

today is much worst than I expected... I thought SPX 1053 should hold...

dzyx

今天的这一跌很有意思，FA上没什么坏消息，却在MAD后来了一个MDD，而且基本上是一路走低，量却很少。既然是 ...
iceriver 发表于 2010-8-30 23:07

我觉得市场是担心明天的消费者信心和周三的ISM PMI or Index (我特别关切这个)。HFT起了推波助澜的作用。

balto

羊群，只有羊群在抱团跑，呵呵。。。