07/12/2010 大盘回顾 （Ascending Triangle in Rishing Wedge）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 1 of 2 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in SELL mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode Short-term   4 of 5 are NEUTRAL Long on 07/07, hold overnight. GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION 07/11,07/24-07/28 07/11 / 07/23 07/12, 07/16, 07/31 Next pivot date: 07/12

BULLISH BEARISH *0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume: A little low, may mean a top.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU Non-Stop 06/30 S N/A Be sure to check 8.2.2a to 8.2.2g to understand the risks. ST Model     *Short if SPY tomorrow’s Open > tomorrow’s Close. The stop loss will be 1.9xATR(10).

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: EARLY THIS WEEK IS BULLISH, OE FRIDAY IS BEARISH

See 07/09 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: EXPECT HUGE REBOUND BEFORE 2ND LEG DOWN

Still expect a 2nd leg down but since the retailers sentiment is way too bearish so the rebound we have now could be huge. See 07/09 Market Recap for more details.

 

SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE NEW RECOVERY HIGH BEFORE PULLING BACK

 

短期的看法没有改变，maintain the forecast for mini price target at SPX 1099 and time target around 07/16 (See  07/09 Market Recap for more details)。

 

1.0.1 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min)，小型Ascending Triangle套在大的bearish Rising Wedge里面，所以可能明天还会有一个push up，如果push up的幅度不大的话，最终bearish Rising Wedge还是会起作用的。因此可能先涨后跌（不一定是明天跌）。

 

 

0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume，这个也是说market可能很接近short-term top了，明天SPX涨，但NYTV还跌的话，牛牛要小心了。

 

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ	DOWN	4.1.1 Nasdaq 100 Index (Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target 1565. 6.4.6a QQQQ Black Bar Watch: Black may mean short-term top is very close.
IWM	DOWN	Ascending Broadening Wedge, target $54.97.
CHINA	DOWN
EMERGING	UP
EUROPEAN	UP	4.1.7 Vanguard European VIPERs (VGK Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $35.45.
CANADA	DOWN	4.1.5 iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund (XIU.TO Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $15.30.
BOND	UP	Testing support.
EURO	UP
GOLD	UP	4.3.0 Gold Trust Shares (GLD Weekly): Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $129.99. Be careful of the non-confirmation of SLV and GDX.
GDX	UP
OIL	DOWN
ENERGY	DOWN	4.4.1 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE Weekly): Bearish 1-2-3 formation, target $43.14.
FINANCIALS	DOWN
REITS	DOWN	4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): Pay attention to XHB weakness!
MATERIALS	DOWN	4.4.4 Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB Weekly): Double Top, target $23.27.

胡同儿串子

sf, haha

胡同儿串子

bd, 今天真巧

oda

胡同儿串子

sell on news 会不会发生呢，不得不防，但intc明天盘后，也是重量级的。。。

soulvirus

thx

fu2008

回复 1# Cobra


   

pig2006

Thanks!

summer123

skipjack

Thanks

萧秋水

辛苦了,多谢!

ranchgirl

X!ng is still very bullish.

knz98

多谢了！

happyface

thanks a lot

nanosensor

Thanks!

surya

X中国陆军

t-k

oldfox

fara

hao!