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[技术分析] Daily notes to self 7/2

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发表于 2010-7-2 03:35 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 zeebra 于 2010-7-2 17:44 编辑

Today's volume is relatively small due to the long weekend.
All indices broke down the H&S neck line in weekly charts.  $SPX is forming a 50MA/200MA cross, bearish!
But from monthly charts, the downward momentum is slowing down, will we see another two long red bars in monthly charts in next two months?
Still believe that there will be a short term bounce next week. But very bearish for long term.
VIX weekly is very bearish, this support the short term bounce next week. (SSEC support the short term bounce too)
Both 10yr and 30 yr yields up and look like morning star pattern, which is good for stocks.
The selloff during last 5min could be that many traders don't want to hold long position over the long weekend.

Have wonderful long weekend.

God Bless Hutong!
vix.png
compq.png
weekly.png
indu.png
spx.png
ssec.png
SPX_60.png
monthly.png

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发表于 2010-7-2 03:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2010-7-2 03:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks! And Yes, God Bless Hutong!
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发表于 2010-7-2 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
We have only 2 days in July, that's why the July bar is short ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-2 04:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 zeebra 于 2010-7-2 18:25 编辑
We have only 2 days in July, that's why the July bar is short ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-7-2 18:19



    oh, then we may see a third long red bar.  3 black crows.
the short term bounce will just make those upper tail longer like June.
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks.
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发表于 2010-7-2 04:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
oh, then we may see a third long red bar.  3 black crows.
the short term bounce will jus ...
zeebra 发表于 2010-7-2 18:24



    Hopefully we'll see one next week.
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发表于 2010-7-2 05:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 05:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
Ding
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发表于 2010-7-2 05:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 05:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 06:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-2 06:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
Hopefully we'll see one next week.
Diffusion 发表于 2010-7-2 18:31



    dead cat bounce could be very strong, sometimes.
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发表于 2010-7-2 07:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
dead cat bounce could be very strong, sometimes.
zeebra 发表于 2010-7-2 20:20



   
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发表于 2010-7-2 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-2 09:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
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