找回密码
 注册
搜索
查看: 3619|回复: 77

[技术分析] 02/02/2010 大盘回顾 (2 vs 2 Bulls Won)

[复制链接]
发表于 2010-2-2 09:21 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


  TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart)
Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY    
Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode
Short-term 1 of 1 are BUY 8 of 8 are NEUTRAL  
BULLISH 0.0.6 Nasdaq 100 Index Intermediate-term Trading Signals: NADNV too high.
BEARISH 2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily): Could be a Bull Flag in the forming.
CONCLUSION
SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING VEHICLE:
SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
ST Model 01/27 S   *Stopped out of short position flat.
Reversal Bar    
NYMO Sell 01/21 S   *Stopped out of short position with gain.
VIX MA ENV      
OTHER ETFs TREND COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ    
IWM    
CHINA Down Double Top or Bearish 1-2-3 Formation?
EMERGING    
CANADA Down Double Top, target $15.77.
FINANCIALS  
REITS  
ENERGY  
OIL    
GOLD  
DOLLAR UP Confirmed Head and Shoulders Bottom breakout.
BOND   Could be a Bull Flag. So yield could rise while bond should fall.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL SPX PULLBACK TARGET COULD BE AROUND 1020-1040 AREA

 

No update, according to chart 4.1.0 S&P 500 Large Cap Index (Weekly), the most likely initial pullback target could be around 1020-1040 area.

 

SHORT-TERM: THERE’S A CHANCE THE REBOUND IS NOT MERELY A REBOUND  

 

俺依旧没有证据说market bottomed,因此目前还是当反弹看待。不过,好消息是7.1.0 Use n vs n Rule to Identify a Trend Change,同样跌2天涨2天,明显是牛牛比较有劲,因此there’s a chance that the rebound is not merely a rebound。当然要看今后几天market能否keep rising,因为根据最近的pattern,见0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals,如果SPX已经bottom的话,后面几天should be straight up而不应该有任何大的pullback,let’s see。

 

NvsN.png

 

SPXMidTerm.png

 

今天的After Bell Quick Summary提到由于1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)ChiOsc is way too high,因此明天早盘可能会有pullback。介里还有个理由,NYSE Intraday Cumulative TICK,太高了。

 

CumTICK.png

 

The bottom line, very short-term is very overbought now, so it’s reasonable to expect a little bit weakness (at least intraday), as long as it’s not a big pullback then chances are higher and higher each day that we may see a new high.

 

1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min),介个看一下,今天完成了第二目标,Fib 38.2%,再下面就是Jan 22的gap了。

 

SPY30min.png

 

STOCK SCREENER:  For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in SELL mode, only SHORT candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.

 

Today’s screener has only one stock – ODFL, look familiar? Yeah, it was the chosen one last Friday but was not confirmed on Monday, guess it has to die first then someone must say “I love you” to wake it up to be a chosen one? LOL

 

ODFL.png

 

According to the entry rule, the only stock found yesterday was not confirmed.

 

HTS.png

评分

11

查看全部评分

发表于 2010-2-2 09:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
#1
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
SPY 60-min图和SPX 2007以来的monthly图像得没边

回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
@@
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
ding, thx
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 6th-Sense 于 2010-2-2 21:26 编辑

1# Cobra

回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks, Cobra
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
wk, 1st page
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
SPY 60-min图和SPX 2007以来的monthly图像得没边


bayliner1979 发表于 2010-2-2 20:23



show us.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2010-2-2 09:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
SPY 60-min图和SPX 2007以来的monthly图像得没边


bayliner1979 发表于 2010-2-2 20:23


啥个意思哈?
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks so much
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2010-2-2 09:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks a lot
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

手机版|小黑屋|www.hutong9.net

GMT-5, 2025-6-23 04:22 PM , Processed in 0.087056 second(s), 19 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.5

© 2001-2024 Discuz! Team.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表