群众摸底-2009/11/20

padme

好久没人开过这样的投票了。看看这个周末，大家都是hold了怎样的仓位？

重仓   > 70%
中仓   40%~70%
轻仓   < 40%

Diffusion

感觉这个weekend大家都很high，大的动作就要来了。

padme

主要是大家都预期还有最后一涨才会下跌，结果没涨就跌下来了。所以很多牛牛被套，很多熊熊踏空。

市场走得出乎意料，大家就会比较激动。

Diffusion

主要是大家都预期还有最后一涨才会下跌，结果没涨就跌下来了。所以很多牛牛被套，很多熊熊踏空。

市场走得出乎意料，大家就会比较激动。
padme 发表于 2009-11-21 18:48

牛熊两难

czm

Before Thanksgiving:  重仓long  -> 全cash.

源济

熊军呼唤大P！

dodo

大p，熊军就交给你啦！

abaqus

主要是大家都预期还有最后一涨才会下跌，结果没涨就跌下来了。所以很多牛牛被套，很多熊熊踏空。

市场走得出乎意料，大家就会比较激动。
padme 发表于 2009-11-21 18:48

interesting result so far.

Short/Long ( Put/Call) = 0.5, very bullish!

HTers should spend more time to take Cobra, CM, and other good traders' classes.

cheory

I think the result is bearish la..
only 33 中或重仓
( bull/bear) 33/53 = 62%
hehe

PQ168

好久没人开过这样的投票了。

新ID吗，你是谁的马甲

阿斗

Let's see if the crowd is wrong this time.

ranchgirl

55/45 bull/bear

Cobra

55/45 bull/bear
ranchgirl 发表于 2009-11-22 17:42

What? How did you get this? Isn't it 75/28?

lite1067

What? How did you get this? Isn't it 75/28?
Cobra 发表于 2009-11-22 22:57

the weights are different for heavy, medium, and light positions? I remember DaP used to use a fairly complicated weighting formula.

BTW, where is Da P nowadays.

听说炒股赚钱

真的有日子没见大P了?

ranchgirl

now: 67/57 bull/bear

ranchgirl

I count long as bull, cash and short as bear.

padme

单选投票, 共有 128 人参与投票
1.  重仓long        
        16.41% (21)
2.  中仓long        
        17.19% (22)
3.  轻仓long        
        20.31% (26)
4.  全cash        
        21.88% (28)
5.  轻仓short        
        11.72% (15)
6.  中仓short        
        9.38% (12)
7.  重仓short        
        3.13% (4)

ranchgirl

now: 71/59 bull/bear
I count long as bull, cash and short as bear.

padme

now: 71/59 bull/bear
I count long as bull, cash and short as bear.
ranchgirl 发表于 2009-11-23 08:34

你这个明显是有BIAS的啊。