11/11/2009 大盘回顾 （QQQQ Black Bar）

Cobra

Summary:

Just a wild guess: Could be 2 days consolidation then 10 days down cycle.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	11/11 S	*Short intraday.	2 x ATR(10)	SPY 2 x ATR(10) is 4% above the entry price. For 2x ETF, use 8% and 3x, 12%.
Reversal Bar				*Triggered on 11/11, but will follow ST Model only as it's risky to enter 2 identical positions at the same time.
NYMO Sell
VIX ENV

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD BE 2 DAYS CONSOLIDATION THEN 10 DAYS DOWN CYCLE

 

0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals，考虑到蓝色箭头以后的相似性，以及离10 day up cycle完成还有2天，俺猜本周剩下的2天将会是小幅波动的consolidation，而根据statistics about SPY up 7 days in a row，从下周开始的10 day cycle可能是down cycle。（不是说要跌１０天哈）

 

1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals，black bar的两个预言，低开明天（但不一定收红），离short-term top不远。介个离short-term top不远的预言正好也符合上面10 day down cycle的推断。

 

1.0.8 SPX Cycle Watch (Weekly)，时间角度，下周正好是cycle turn week，同样可能印证10 day down cycle的推断。另外，顺便说，上面target一堆，都不是很远，因此可能上涨的空间也不大了，所以也符合consolidation的推断。

 

SHORT-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

INTERESTING CHARTS:

 

6.4.9 All Up Day Watch，confirmed，今天是ALL UP DAY。发现还是有同学问，再说一遍，具体看链接ALL UP DAY。All up day之所以重要，是因为它反映了inter-market间固有关系被打乱了，因而可能意味着market进入转型期。

 

Wolf

hsu

Yeahhhhhhhhhhhh,SF!

rosyrosy

floor

hsu

Ding first,then read!

summer123

nasd

谢班长。街坊邻居们点了广告再看吧

stockgirl

  先占个位子，点了广告再看.

babyruth

thanks

happyface

thanks

gardener2000

thanks

outer

3X

hsu

Will out of town for 2 days from tomorrow,unable to watch screen,do not want to cut my TZA,deep under water now

michaelzhang

thx

busywind

ding

Positive_Theta

I suppose 2XATR is a trading system, what does 4% above entry point mean? Did you mean 4% gain already? And what is the significance of it? Thanks again!

RedCedar

1st page !
Thx!

hsu

Will out of town for 2 days from tomorrow,unable to watch screen,do not want to cut my TZA,deep under water now
hsu 发表于 2009-11-11 21:38

Will I see TZA 10%+ up next week when I came back?I wish.

Alchemist

excellent!

hsu

Will I see TZA 10%+ up next week when I came back?I wish.
hsu 发表于 2009-11-11 21:44

sorry,come back,too nerviouse