网路疯传“连山预测"难道是因为YTD Return？

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-5 07:50 PM

本帖最后由酒醉今朝于 2016-9-5 07:58 PM 编辑

截至今日LaborDay, 今年“连山预测"SPY 的年回报率是11.51%，如果加杠杆SVXY，可高达58.76%。

模型名称	买卖规则	今年截至今日LaborDay的年回报率（2016 YTD Return）
SPY UP 模型	连山预测UP:9:30AM开盘买进SPY,4:00PM收盘卖出，挣当日差价，连山预测DOWN或RANGE:忽略当日，不交易。	11.51%
SVXY杠杆	连山预测UP:9:30AM开盘买进SVXY,4:00PM收盘卖出，挣当日差价，连山预测DOWN或RANGE:忽略当日，不交易。	58.76%

LianshanForcast UP/DOWN/RANGE count: 136 （这里仅列出UP)

Date	Forcast	SPY open	SPY close	SPY Percent	Result	SPY Gain	Act	Open	Close	Percent	Gain
Wed Jan 6 2016	UP	$198.34	$198.82	0.24%	True	0.24%	BUY SVXY	$45.62	$47.39	3.88%	3.88%
Mon Jan 11 2016	UP	$193.01	$192.11	-0.47%	False	-0.22%	BUY SVXY	$40.22	$41.04	2.04%	5.92%
Thu Jan 14 2016	UP	$189.55	$191.93	1.26%	True	1.03%	BUY SVXY	$39.00	$40.03	2.64%	8.56%
Wed Jan 20 2016	UP	$185.03	$185.65	0.34%	True	1.37%	BUY SVXY	$34.83	$35.11	0.80%	9.36%
Thu Jan 21 2016	UP	$186.21	$186.69	0.26%	True	1.62%	BUY SVXY	$35.45	$35.25	-0.56%	8.80%
Fri Jan 22 2016	UP	$189.78	$190.52	0.39%	True	2.01%	BUY SVXY	$36.90	$38.19	3.50%	12.30%
Tue Jan 26 2016	UP	$188.42	$190.20	0.94%	True	2.96%	BUY SVXY	$36.75	$37.93	3.21%	15.51%
Thu Jan 28 2016	UP	$189.96	$189.11	-0.45%	False	2.51%	BUY SVXY	$37.60	$37.62	0.05%	15.56%
Mon Feb 1 2016	UP	$192.53	$193.65	0.58%	True	3.09%	BUY SVXY	$38.88	$39.56	1.75%	17.31%
Tue Feb 2 2016	UP	$191.96	$190.16	-0.94%	False	2.16%	BUY SVXY	$38.27	$36.86	-3.68%	13.62%
Wed Feb 3 2016	UP	$191.41	$191.30	-0.06%	False	2.10%	BUY SVXY	$37.50	$37.34	-0.43%	13.20%
Thu Feb 4 2016	UP	$190.71	$191.60	0.47%	True	2.56%	BUY SVXY	$36.88	$36.93	0.14%	13.33%
Fri Feb 5 2016	UP	$190.99	$187.95	-1.59%	False	0.97%	BUY SVXY	$37.03	$35.47	-4.21%	9.12%
Mon Feb 8 2016	UP	$185.77	$185.42	-0.19%	False	0.78%	BUY SVXY	$34.15	$33.76	-1.14%	7.98%
Wed Feb 10 2016	UP	$186.41	$185.27	-0.61%	False	0.17%	BUY SVXY	$34.12	$33.25	-2.55%	5.43%
Fri Feb 12 2016	UP	$184.96	$186.63	0.90%	True	1.08%	BUY SVXY	$32.20	$32.58	1.18%	6.61%
Wed Feb 17 2016	UP	$191.16	$192.88	0.90%	True	1.98%	BUY SVXY	$34.86	$35.40	1.55%	8.16%
Thu Feb 18 2016	UP	$193.20	$192.09	-0.57%	False	1.40%	BUY SVXY	$35.61	$35.48	-0.37%	7.79%
Fri Feb 19 2016	UP	$191.17	$192.00	0.43%	True	1.84%	BUY SVXY	$34.88	$36.43	4.44%	12.24%
Mon Feb 22 2016	UP	$193.87	$194.78	0.47%	True	2.30%	BUY SVXY	$37.45	$38.50	2.80%	15.04%
Tue Feb 23 2016	UP	$194.00	$192.32	-0.87%	False	1.44%	BUY SVXY	$38.02	$36.57	-3.81%	11.23%
Thu Feb 25 2016	UP	$193.73	$195.54	0.93%	True	2.37%	BUY SVXY	$37.08	$38.06	2.64%	13.87%
Fri Feb 26 2016	UP	$196.57	$195.09	-0.75%	False	1.62%	BUY SVXY	$38.68	$37.50	-3.05%	10.82%
Mon Feb 29 2016	UP	$195.11	$193.56	-0.79%	False	0.83%	BUY SVXY	$37.62	$36.88	-1.97%	8.85%
Tue Mar 1 2016	UP	$195.01	$198.11	1.59%	True	2.42%	BUY SVXY	$37.76	$40.09	6.17%	15.02%
Wed Mar 2 2016	UP	$197.74	$199.00	0.64%	True	3.05%	BUY SVXY	$39.89	$40.76	2.18%	17.20%
Thu Mar 3 2016	UP	$198.79	$199.78	0.50%	True	3.55%	BUY SVXY	$40.52	$42.06	3.80%	21.00%
Fri Mar 4 2016	UP	$200.01	$200.43	0.21%	True	3.76%	BUY SVXY	$42.73	$41.55	-2.76%	18.24%
Tue Mar 8 2016	UP	$199.32	$198.40	-0.46%	False	3.30%	BUY SVXY	$40.53	$39.79	-1.83%	16.42%
Thu Mar 10 2016	UP	$199.96	$199.54	-0.21%	False	3.09%	BUY SVXY	$40.94	$41.04	0.24%	16.66%
Fri Mar 11 2016	UP	$201.26	$202.76	0.75%	True	3.83%	BUY SVXY	$42.06	$43.15	2.59%	19.25%
Wed Mar 16 2016	UP	$201.60	$203.34	0.86%	True	4.70%	BUY SVXY	$42.63	$44.78	5.04%	24.30%
Fri Mar 18 2016	UP	$204.17	$204.38	0.10%	True	4.80%	BUY SVXY	$46.71	$46.45	-0.56%	23.74%
Mon Mar 21 2016	UP	$204.07	$204.67	0.29%	True	5.09%	BUY SVXY	$46.44	$47.75	2.82%	26.56%
Tue Mar 22 2016	UP	$203.76	$204.56	0.39%	True	5.49%	BUY SVXY	$47.08	$48.37	2.74%	29.30%
Wed Mar 23 2016	UP	$204.11	$203.21	-0.44%	False	5.05%	BUY SVXY	$47.88	$46.05	-3.82%	25.48%
Tue Mar 29 2016	UP	$202.76	$205.12	1.16%	True	6.21%	BUY SVXY	$46.78	$49.66	6.16%	31.63%
Wed Mar 30 2016	UP	$206.30	$206.02	-0.14%	False	6.07%	BUY SVXY	$50.56	$50.88	0.63%	32.27%
Thu Mar 31 2016	UP	$205.91	$205.52	-0.19%	False	5.88%	BUY SVXY	$50.38	$50.53	0.30%	32.56%
Fri Apr 1 2016	UP	$204.35	$206.92	1.26%	True	7.14%	BUY SVXY	$48.88	$52.00	6.38%	38.95%
Tue Apr 5 2016	UP	$204.67	$204.19	-0.23%	False	6.91%	BUY SVXY	$48.64	$47.64	-2.06%	36.89%
Tue Apr 12 2016	UP	$204.22	$205.92	0.83%	True	7.74%	BUY SVXY	$46.62	$48.14	3.26%	40.15%
Wed Apr 13 2016	UP	$207.00	$208.00	0.48%	True	8.22%	BUY SVXY	$49.29	$50.57	2.60%	42.75%
Tue Apr 19 2016	UP	$209.74	$209.90	0.08%	True	8.30%	BUY SVXY	$54.90	$54.15	-1.37%	41.38%
Wed Apr 20 2016	UP	$209.95	$210.10	0.07%	True	8.37%	BUY SVXY	$54.92	$53.86	-1.93%	39.45%
Thu Apr 21 2016	UP	$210.12	$208.97	-0.55%	False	7.82%	BUY SVXY	$53.27	$52.86	-0.77%	38.68%
Fri Apr 22 2016	UP	$208.55	$208.97	0.20%	True	8.03%	BUY SVXY	$52.53	$54.18	3.14%	41.82%
Tue Apr 26 2016	UP	$209.04	$208.92	-0.06%	False	7.97%	BUY SVXY	$54.16	$54.64	0.89%	42.71%
Fri Apr 29 2016	UP	$206.72	$206.33	-0.19%	False	7.78%	BUY SVXY	$52.26	$51.13	-2.16%	40.55%
Mon May 2 2016	UP	$206.92	$207.97	0.51%	True	8.29%	BUY SVXY	$52.21	$54.30	4.00%	44.55%
Tue May 3 2016	UP	$206.52	$206.16	-0.17%	False	8.11%	BUY SVXY	$52.68	$51.81	-1.65%	42.90%
Wed May 4 2016	UP	$204.99	$205.01	0.01%	True	8.12%	BUY SVXY	$50.50	$51.15	1.29%	44.19%
Thu May 5 2016	UP	$205.56	$204.97	-0.29%	False	7.83%	BUY SVXY	$52.14	$51.24	-1.73%	42.46%
Mon May 9 2016	UP	$205.57	$205.89	0.16%	True	7.99%	BUY SVXY	$54.04	$54.76	1.33%	43.79%
Wed May 11 2016	UP	$207.91	$206.50	-0.68%	False	7.31%	BUY SVXY	$57.22	$55.36	-3.25%	40.54%
Thu May 12 2016	UP	$207.29	$206.56	-0.35%	False	6.96%	BUY SVXY	$55.95	$56.00	0.09%	40.63%
Mon May 16 2016	UP	$204.96	$206.78	0.89%	True	7.85%	BUY SVXY	$54.38	$56.45	3.81%	44.44%
Tue May 17 2016	UP	$206.46	$204.85	-0.78%	False	7.07%	BUY SVXY	$56.03	$53.98	-3.66%	40.78%
Wed May 18 2016	UP	$204.44	$204.91	0.23%	True	7.30%	BUY SVXY	$53.96	$54.21	0.46%	41.24%
Tue May 24 2016	UP	$206.17	$207.87	0.82%	True	8.12%	BUY SVXY	$56.96	$58.45	2.62%	43.86%
Wed Jun 1 2016	UP	$209.12	$210.27	0.55%	True	8.67%	BUY SVXY	$60.82	$62.34	2.50%	46.36%
Wed Jun 8 2016	UP	$211.84	$212.37	0.25%	True	8.92%	BUY SVXY	$65.19	$64.72	-0.72%	45.64%
Wed Jun 15 2016	UP	$208.04	$207.75	-0.14%	False	8.78%	BUY SVXY	$50.61	$50.61	0.00%	45.64%
Fri Jun 17 2016	UP	$207.17	$206.52	-0.31%	False	8.47%	BUY SVXY	$52.00	$52.05	0.10%	45.73%
Mon Jun 20 2016	UP	$208.82	$207.85	-0.46%	False	8.01%	BUY SVXY	$55.31	$55.54	0.42%	46.15%
Tue Jun 21 2016	UP	$208.30	$208.44	0.07%	True	8.07%	BUY SVXY	$56.57	$55.18	-2.46%	43.69%
Tue Jun 28 2016	UP	$201.48	$203.20	0.85%	True	8.93%	BUY SVXY	$43.08	$45.43	5.45%	49.15%
Thu Jun 30 2016	UP	$207.21	$209.48	1.10%	True	10.02%	BUY SVXY	$48.24	$49.06	1.70%	50.85%
Thu Jul 28 2016	UP	$216.29	$216.77	0.22%	True	10.24%	BUY SVXY	$62.04	$63.52	2.39%	53.23%
Tue Aug 2 2016	UP	$216.65	$215.55	-0.51%	False	9.74%	BUY SVXY	$66.06	$64.28	-2.69%	50.54%
Wed Aug 3 2016	UP	$215.48	$216.18	0.32%	True	10.06%	BUY SVXY	$64.15	$65.93	2.77%	53.31%
Fri Aug 5 2016	UP	$216.41	$218.18	0.82%	True	10.88%	BUY SVXY	$69.37	$70.05	0.98%	54.29%
Thu Aug 11 2016	UP	$218.26	$218.65	0.18%	True	11.06%	BUY SVXY	$71.88	$71.40	-0.67%	53.63%
Fri Aug 12 2016	UP	$218.29	$218.46	0.08%	True	11.14%	BUY SVXY	$71.40	$72.11	0.99%	54.62%
Thu Aug 18 2016	UP	$218.34	$218.86	0.24%	True	11.37%	BUY SVXY	$72.24	$73.82	2.19%	56.81%
Fri Aug 19 2016	UP	$218.31	$218.54	0.11%	True	11.48%	BUY SVXY	$73.02	$73.44	0.58%	57.38%
Mon Aug 22 2016	UP	$218.26	$218.53	0.12%	True	11.60%	BUY SVXY	$72.99	$73.21	0.30%	57.68%
Tue Aug 23 2016	UP	$219.25	$218.97	-0.13%	False	11.47%	BUY SVXY	$73.68	$73.41	-0.37%	57.32%
Thu Aug 25 2016	UP	$217.40	$217.70	0.14%	True	11.61%	BUY SVXY	$70.49	$71.67	1.67%	58.99%
Wed Aug 31 2016	UP	$217.61	$217.38	-0.11%	False	11.51%	BUY SVXY	$73.18	$73.01	-0.23%	58.76%

rowCount: 80

oldwolf · 发表于 2016-9-5 08:41 PM

你这不是胡来么，不用连山预测，svxy 也是60%，那不是比来连山预测收益更高？
这是今年涨了，如果跌了，你是不是把连山预测的up 都去掉，只用down，然后也是很高的return？
连山的预测有源大的比较公正的统计结果。
像你这样胡勒，你既i害了连大侠，也会误导别人。

你快洗洗睡了吧！

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-5 09:03 PM

本帖最后由酒醉今朝于 2016-9-5 09:18 PM 编辑

oldwolf 发表于 2016-9-5 08:41 PM
你这不是胡来么，不用连山预测，svxy 也是60%，那不是比来连山预测收益更高？
这是今年涨了，如果跌了， ...

让数据说话！第一，我在表头上已经注明“LianshanForcast UP/DOWN/RANGE count: 136 （这里仅列出UP)”
第二，我列出的买卖规则，并起名“SPY UP 模型”，以示是使用部分数据所派生的模型。
第三，我认为当连山预测UP时，可操作；但当预测DOWN时不可直接操作，
所以仅使用UP部分，进行统计。
我不认为您的评价公平、公正。
我只是个用户，用户有使用“部分”或使用“全部”数据，进行统计的自由。
我只是借鉴连山预测，觉得预测有价值。难道股民买正向或反向还要听狼指挥不成。

oldwolf · 发表于 2016-9-5 10:34 PM

酒醉今朝发表于 2016-9-5 09:03 PM
让数据说话！第一，我在表头上已经注明“LianshanForcast UP/DOWN/RANGE count: 136 （这里仅列出UP)” ...

你用数据，怎么用都没人限制。
但是你用的题目，“网路疯传：这不是事实。除了你一个人，没看见有任何人说。
你不说网路风传，谁管你怎么用。

happymaker · 发表于 2016-9-5 11:03 PM

oldwolf 发表于 2016-9-5 10:34 PM
你用数据，怎么用都没人限制。
但是你用的题目，“网路疯传：这不是事实。除了你一个人，没看见有任何人 ...

你没看他是新ID? 都想赚稳当不亏的钱。

赚钱大帝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 06:35 AM

酒醉今朝发表于 2016-9-5 09:03 PM
让数据说话！第一，我在表头上已经注明“LianshanForcast UP/DOWN/RANGE count: 136 （这里仅列出UP)” ...

美国这8，9年牛市，有些比较简单的原则和方式，我举2个例子：
1.最简单原则，就是有钱就买spy,然后当死狗，这招是很懒皮的招数，但效果一定不错，因为从大的指数时间跨度看，大盘指数是永远向上的，这个绝对是有理论基础并站的住脚的
2. 如果这些年来每周一开盘买spy,周五收盘卖spy,估计有70%的赢率,换句话说，美国的spy,你只要敢买，任何时间都无所谓，你都有几乎65-70%的赢率

赚钱大帝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 06:38 AM

另外，spy和svxy大约有80%的相关度，我经常看见spy都新高啦，svxy还差个10%到20%的幅度

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 06:57 AM

oldwolf 发表于 2016-9-5 10:34 PM
你用数据，怎么用都没人限制。
但是你用的题目，“网路疯传：这不是事实。除了你一个人，没看见有任何人 ...

郎呀，您的第一贴说的是“数据”有问题。我给您回复了，可您怎么又改口说“数据”没问题，而是“标题”有问题呢？
长周末，我们炒股小组聚会。其中一位朋友说了这句话，引起朋友们共鸣，于是乎，就用作“标题”。
我是负责数据这一块的，弄个“深度学习，卷积分”啥的。“连山”的点击率，确实很高。至于郎的高低，我还没有来得及统计。
当然，我主要是被连山持之以恒的精神所感动，也赞同他炒股的理念：“不追求很高的盈利，长期稳定盈利是目标。” 在私下切磋中，知道他是好人，你说我“害”他，岂不冤枉，
况且我列出的只不过是原始数据， “让数据说话”，至于原始数据的解读，仁者见仁、智者见智。现在戴上您所扣的这顶“误导别人”的帽子，也是对网友的提醒，谢啦。
您是老股民，俺是新股民。建议您别动不动就什么辫子啦、帽子啦、棍子啦，好不好。昨晚按照您的嘱咐“洗洗睡了”：我睡的是自己的老婆，真的不是嫂子。

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 07:17 AM

赚钱大帝发表于 2016-9-6 06:35 AM
美国这8，9年牛市，有些比较简单的原则和方式，我举2个例子：
1.最简单原则，就是有钱就买spy,然后当死狗 ...

举双手赞同！我的朋友圈中有位叫“阿狗”（我想他是ALGO）,写了个鸟程序不到100行，玩的就是这个：每天倒腾SVXY - 开市买、收市卖。十万的本金，在半年中，生出五万的利润。
他已经回国度假去了，并说今年不再炒股啦。我想也对，赚够年回报率50%的人都应该去度假。

rightonmoney · 发表于 2016-9-6 08:12 AM

酒醉今朝发表于 2016-9-6 07:17 AM
举双手赞同！我的朋友圈中有位叫“阿狗”（我想他是ALGO）,写了个鸟程序不到100行，玩的就是这个：每天倒 ...

你前面写的，我都给赞。但你最后来这么个例子，直接把我给笑翻了。

mitwkwk · 发表于 2016-9-6 12:45 PM

赚钱大帝发表于 2016-9-6 06:35 AM
美国这8，9年牛市，有些比较简单的原则和方式，我举2个例子：
1.最简单原则，就是有钱就买spy,然后当死狗 ...

我的401k就是当死狗做的

mitwkwk · 发表于 2016-9-6 12:47 PM

不错啊，金融有衍生品，这模型也有衍生模型了

ranchgirl · 发表于 2016-9-6 01:38 PM

interesting

Simpletrader · 发表于 2016-9-6 01:51 PM

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 06:51 PM

rightonmoney 发表于 2016-9-6 08:12 AM 你前面写的，我都给赞。但你最后来这么个例子，直接把我给笑翻了。

阿狗实诚。他有时吹吹狗，但绝不吹牛。下面的数据显示：YTD Return是80%.
看来他说“五万”还是个保守数字。我猜他赢六万或七万, 果真要胡牌了。只是他打的牌不一定是清一色。

Date	SVXY open	close	Percent	Gain
Tue Jan 5 2016	$48.42	$48.86	0.91%	0.91%
Wed Jan 6 2016	$45.62	$47.39	3.88%	4.79%
Thu Jan 7 2016	$44.21	$42.34	-4.23%	0.56%
Fri Jan 8 2016	$43.60	$39.87	-8.56%	-8.00%
Mon Jan 11 2016	$40.22	$41.04	2.04%	-5.96%
Tue Jan 12 2016	$42.77	$43.01	0.56%	-5.40%
Wed Jan 13 2016	$43.82	$38.60	-11.91%	-17.31%
Thu Jan 14 2016	$39.00	$40.03	2.64%	-14.67%
Fri Jan 15 2016	$35.62	$36.03	1.15%	-13.52%
Tue Jan 19 2016	$37.49	$36.01	-3.95%	-17.46%
Wed Jan 20 2016	$34.83	$35.11	0.80%	-16.66%
Thu Jan 21 2016	$35.45	$35.25	-0.56%	-17.22%
Fri Jan 22 2016	$36.90	$38.19	3.50%	-13.73%
Mon Jan 25 2016	$37.68	$36.21	-3.90%	-17.63%
Tue Jan 26 2016	$36.75	$37.93	3.21%	-14.42%
Wed Jan 27 2016	$37.51	$36.38	-3.01%	-17.43%
Thu Jan 28 2016	$37.60	$37.62	0.05%	-17.38%
Fri Jan 29 2016	$37.90	$39.12	3.22%	-14.16%
Mon Feb 1 2016	$38.88	$39.56	1.75%	-12.41%
Tue Feb 2 2016	$38.27	$36.86	-3.68%	-16.09%
Wed Feb 3 2016	$37.50	$37.34	-0.43%	-16.52%
Thu Feb 4 2016	$36.88	$36.93	0.14%	-16.39%
Fri Feb 5 2016	$37.03	$35.47	-4.21%	-20.60%
Mon Feb 8 2016	$34.15	$33.76	-1.14%	-21.74%
Tue Feb 9 2016	$32.40	$33.51	3.43%	-18.31%
Wed Feb 10 2016	$34.12	$33.25	-2.55%	-20.86%
Thu Feb 11 2016	$30.99	$31.23	0.77%	-20.09%
Fri Feb 12 2016	$32.20	$32.58	1.18%	-18.91%
Tue Feb 16 2016	$33.70	$34.07	1.10%	-17.81%
Wed Feb 17 2016	$34.86	$35.40	1.55%	-16.26%
Thu Feb 18 2016	$35.61	$35.48	-0.37%	-16.63%
Fri Feb 19 2016	$34.88	$36.43	4.44%	-12.18%
Mon Feb 22 2016	$37.45	$38.50	2.80%	-9.38%
Tue Feb 23 2016	$38.02	$36.57	-3.81%	-13.19%
Wed Feb 24 2016	$35.05	$36.78	4.94%	-8.26%
Thu Feb 25 2016	$37.08	$38.06	2.64%	-5.62%
Fri Feb 26 2016	$38.68	$37.50	-3.05%	-8.67%
Mon Feb 29 2016	$37.62	$36.88	-1.97%	-10.63%
Tue Mar 1 2016	$37.76	$40.09	6.17%	-4.46%
Wed Mar 2 2016	$39.89	$40.76	2.18%	-2.28%
Thu Mar 3 2016	$40.52	$42.06	3.80%	1.52%
Fri Mar 4 2016	$42.73	$41.55	-2.76%	-1.24%
Mon Mar 7 2016	$40.69	$41.41	1.77%	0.53%
Tue Mar 8 2016	$40.53	$39.79	-1.83%	-1.30%
Wed Mar 9 2016	$40.21	$40.34	0.32%	-0.98%
Thu Mar 10 2016	$40.94	$41.04	0.24%	-0.73%
Fri Mar 11 2016	$42.06	$43.15	2.59%	1.86%
Mon Mar 14 2016	$42.83	$43.83	2.33%	4.19%
Tue Mar 15 2016	$42.50	$43.21	1.67%	5.87%
Wed Mar 16 2016	$42.63	$44.78	5.04%	10.91%
Thu Mar 17 2016	$44.78	$46.09	2.93%	13.83%
Fri Mar 18 2016	$46.71	$46.45	-0.56%	13.28%
Mon Mar 21 2016	$46.44	$47.75	2.82%	16.10%
Tue Mar 22 2016	$47.08	$48.37	2.74%	18.84%
Wed Mar 23 2016	$47.88	$46.05	-3.82%	15.02%
Thu Mar 24 2016	$44.48	$46.29	4.07%	19.09%
Mon Mar 28 2016	$46.74	$46.94	0.43%	19.51%
Tue Mar 29 2016	$46.78	$49.66	6.16%	25.67%
Wed Mar 30 2016	$50.56	$50.88	0.63%	26.30%
Thu Mar 31 2016	$50.38	$50.53	0.30%	26.60%
Fri Apr 1 2016	$48.88	$52.00	6.38%	32.98%
Mon Apr 4 2016	$52.07	$50.56	-2.90%	30.08%
Tue Apr 5 2016	$48.64	$47.64	-2.06%	28.03%
Wed Apr 6 2016	$47.89	$50.80	6.08%	34.10%
Thu Apr 7 2016	$49.36	$46.08	-6.65%	27.46%
Fri Apr 8 2016	$47.80	$47.32	-1.00%	26.45%
Mon Apr 11 2016	$48.10	$46.61	-3.10%	23.36%
Tue Apr 12 2016	$46.62	$48.14	3.26%	26.62%
Wed Apr 13 2016	$49.29	$50.57	2.60%	29.21%
Thu Apr 14 2016	$50.67	$50.74	0.14%	29.35%
Fri Apr 15 2016	$50.89	$51.41	1.02%	30.37%
Mon Apr 18 2016	$50.77	$54.63	7.60%	37.98%
Tue Apr 19 2016	$54.90	$54.15	-1.37%	36.61%
Wed Apr 20 2016	$54.92	$53.86	-1.93%	34.68%
Thu Apr 21 2016	$53.27	$52.86	-0.77%	33.91%
Fri Apr 22 2016	$52.53	$54.18	3.14%	37.05%
Mon Apr 25 2016	$53.29	$53.44	0.28%	37.33%
Tue Apr 26 2016	$54.16	$54.64	0.89%	38.22%
Wed Apr 27 2016	$53.85	$56.22	4.40%	42.62%
Thu Apr 28 2016	$55.09	$52.89	-3.99%	38.63%
Fri Apr 29 2016	$52.26	$51.13	-2.16%	36.47%
Mon May 2 2016	$52.21	$54.30	4.00%	40.47%
Tue May 3 2016	$52.68	$51.81	-1.65%	38.82%
Wed May 4 2016	$50.50	$51.15	1.29%	40.10%
Thu May 5 2016	$52.14	$51.24	-1.73%	38.38%
Fri May 6 2016	$51.04	$53.56	4.94%	43.32%
Mon May 9 2016	$54.04	$54.76	1.33%	44.65%
Tue May 10 2016	$56.17	$57.46	2.30%	46.94%
Wed May 11 2016	$57.22	$55.36	-3.25%	43.69%
Thu May 12 2016	$55.95	$56.00	0.09%	43.78%
Fri May 13 2016	$56.00	$53.93	-3.70%	40.09%
Mon May 16 2016	$54.38	$56.45	3.81%	43.89%
Tue May 17 2016	$56.03	$53.98	-3.66%	40.23%
Wed May 18 2016	$53.96	$54.21	0.46%	40.70%
Thu May 19 2016	$53.28	$53.98	1.31%	42.01%
Fri May 20 2016	$55.12	$55.86	1.34%	43.35%
Mon May 23 2016	$56.00	$56.23	0.41%	43.77%
Tue May 24 2016	$56.96	$58.45	2.62%	46.38%
Wed May 25 2016	$59.36	$59.56	0.34%	46.72%
Thu May 26 2016	$59.62	$60.17	0.92%	47.64%
Fri May 27 2016	$60.62	$61.87	2.06%	49.70%
Tue May 31 2016	$62.69	$61.92	-1.23%	48.47%
Wed Jun 1 2016	$60.82	$62.34	2.50%	50.97%
Thu Jun 2 2016	$61.72	$64.07	3.81%	54.78%
Fri Jun 3 2016	$62.93	$64.38	2.30%	57.08%
Mon Jun 6 2016	$64.71	$65.19	0.74%	57.83%
Tue Jun 7 2016	$65.77	$65.15	-0.94%	56.88%
Wed Jun 8 2016	$65.19	$64.72	-0.72%	56.16%
Thu Jun 9 2016	$63.45	$63.49	0.06%	56.23%
Fri Jun 10 2016	$60.58	$57.75	-4.67%	51.55%
Mon Jun 13 2016	$55.24	$49.07	-11.17%	40.39%
Tue Jun 14 2016	$48.13	$50.12	4.13%	44.52%
Wed Jun 15 2016	$50.61	$50.61	0.00%	44.52%
Thu Jun 16 2016	$48.36	$51.97	7.46%	51.98%
Fri Jun 17 2016	$52.00	$52.05	0.10%	52.08%
Mon Jun 20 2016	$55.31	$55.54	0.42%	52.50%
Tue Jun 21 2016	$56.57	$55.18	-2.46%	50.04%
Wed Jun 22 2016	$55.18	$53.36	-3.30%	46.74%
Thu Jun 23 2016	$56.21	$58.46	4.00%	50.74%
Fri Jun 24 2016	$45.71	$43.00	-5.93%	44.82%
Mon Jun 27 2016	$41.69	$41.89	0.48%	45.30%
Tue Jun 28 2016	$43.08	$45.43	5.45%	50.75%
Wed Jun 29 2016	$46.57	$47.69	2.40%	53.16%
Thu Jun 30 2016	$48.24	$49.06	1.70%	54.85%
Fri Jul 1 2016	$49.42	$50.61	2.41%	57.26%
Tue Jul 5 2016	$49.70	$49.63	-0.14%	57.12%
Wed Jul 6 2016	$48.90	$50.99	4.27%	61.40%
Thu Jul 7 2016	$51.78	$51.81	0.06%	61.45%
Fri Jul 8 2016	$53.70	$55.21	2.81%	64.27%
Mon Jul 11 2016	$56.16	$55.20	-1.71%	62.56%
Tue Jul 12 2016	$56.58	$56.48	-0.18%	62.38%
Wed Jul 13 2016	$57.09	$57.41	0.56%	62.94%
Thu Jul 14 2016	$58.03	$57.45	-1.00%	61.94%
Fri Jul 15 2016	$57.91	$57.73	-0.31%	61.63%
Mon Jul 18 2016	$57.49	$58.72	2.14%	63.77%
Tue Jul 19 2016	$58.70	$58.77	0.12%	63.89%
Wed Jul 20 2016	$59.92	$60.47	0.92%	64.81%
Thu Jul 21 2016	$60.19	$58.73	-2.43%	62.38%
Fri Jul 22 2016	$59.13	$60.07	1.59%	63.97%
Mon Jul 25 2016	$60.52	$60.44	-0.13%	63.84%
Tue Jul 26 2016	$60.48	$61.03	0.91%	64.75%
Wed Jul 27 2016	$61.78	$62.38	0.97%	65.72%
Thu Jul 28 2016	$62.04	$63.52	2.39%	68.10%
Fri Jul 29 2016	$63.62	$65.72	3.30%	71.41%
Mon Aug 1 2016	$66.30	$66.79	0.74%	72.14%
Tue Aug 2 2016	$66.06	$64.28	-2.69%	69.45%
Wed Aug 3 2016	$64.15	$65.93	2.77%	72.22%
Thu Aug 4 2016	$66.74	$67.73	1.48%	73.71%
Fri Aug 5 2016	$69.37	$70.05	0.98%	74.69%
Mon Aug 8 2016	$71.00	$71.60	0.85%	75.53%
Tue Aug 9 2016	$72.58	$72.76	0.25%	75.78%
Wed Aug 10 2016	$73.20	$71.02	-2.98%	72.80%
Thu Aug 11 2016	$71.88	$71.40	-0.67%	72.14%
Fri Aug 12 2016	$71.40	$72.11	0.99%	73.13%
Mon Aug 15 2016	$73.02	$73.24	0.30%	73.43%
Tue Aug 16 2016	$71.82	$70.74	-1.50%	71.93%
Wed Aug 17 2016	$70.97	$72.54	2.21%	74.14%
Thu Aug 18 2016	$72.24	$73.82	2.19%	76.33%
Fri Aug 19 2016	$73.02	$73.44	0.58%	76.90%
Mon Aug 22 2016	$72.99	$73.21	0.30%	77.20%
Tue Aug 23 2016	$73.68	$73.41	-0.37%	76.84%
Wed Aug 24 2016	$73.00	$71.74	-1.73%	75.11%
Thu Aug 25 2016	$70.49	$71.67	1.67%	76.78%
Fri Aug 26 2016	$72.25	$71.45	-1.11%	75.68%
Mon Aug 29 2016	$71.66	$72.92	1.76%	77.44%
Tue Aug 30 2016	$73.13	$73.48	0.48%	77.91%
Wed Aug 31 2016	$73.18	$73.01	-0.23%	77.68%
Thu Sep 1 2016	$73.34	$73.42	0.11%	77.79%
Fri Sep 2 2016	$74.97	$76.10	1.51%	79.30%
Tue Sep 6 2016	$76.67	$78.09	1.85%	81.15%

rowCount: 170

wreckbeach · 发表于 2016-9-6 07:05 PM

赚钱大帝发表于 2016-9-6 06:35 AM
美国这8，9年牛市，有些比较简单的原则和方式，我举2个例子：
1.最简单原则，就是有钱就买spy,然后当死狗 ...

就是说从2009年3月9日以来，说SPY周线蜡烛有70%左右收盘>开盘。

wreckbeach · 发表于 2016-9-6 07:09 PM

酒醉今朝发表于 2016-9-6 06:51 PM
阿狗实诚。他有时吹吹狗，但绝不吹牛。下面的数据显示：YTD Return是80%.看来他说“五万”还是个保守数字 ...

你用扔硬币的方法来决定买卖，得到的结果差不多。

酒醉今朝 · 发表于 2016-9-6 07:29 PM

wreckbeach 发表于 2016-9-6 07:09 PM
你用扔硬币的方法来决定买卖，得到的结果差不多。

赞同你的观点。人们总喜欢把股市看得很复杂，原来这么简单。

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[原创] 网路疯传“连山预测"难道是因为YTD Return？

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