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今天熊军气势汹汹的一直攻到 1865 战略要地, 然后歇兵. 这给下周留下一个很强的悬念. 熊军是要乘胜前进呢, 还是又收兵还朝?
I see 3 major possible scenarios on ES for the rest of February:
(1) Break below 1865, and possible find support around 1856~1860. Then slowly grinding higher from there. Possible bounce to 1930 by the end of February. (50%)
(2) Drop further to 1804, or even break it. Make a good low at around 1780 before the end of February. Then rally 200 points from there in March and April. (40%)
(3) Find support at 1865 next week. Then grind higher from there to 1930. Actually this is similar to the scenario #1. (10%)
So, next week is very important. Look 1865 and 1856 as key levels. If find support at 1856, bulls have hope. If below 1856, bears will take it much lower. At this moment, I think 60% chance 1856 will hold for support.
Of course there are many other possibilities. It's all about odds. Be flexible and open-minded.
For Monday ES trading: watch closely on 1865 and 1856. |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2016-2-5 06:27 PM
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发表于 2016-2-5 06:34 PM
新年快乐！
