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[灌水] SPX with +30pts pull-back soon???

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发表于 2015-12-29 02:49 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


While short-term signals still looks bullish and swing signals are still somewhat bullish, it's not so normal to see this special signal kicking in real soon (maybe tomorrow, Thursday or after new year).  This signal works very well in the past to indicate market dropping at least +30pts to a short-term top.  Since short-term signals aren't showing any sign of topping yet, if I were you, I would be careful to short this market as well as reducing long positions.  That's my 2cent

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发表于 2015-12-29 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
老大的信号很准的.

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Thank you for your compliment. I wish that I'm 100% right all the time so everyone can make money, but the reality is that nothing is perfect in this world.  发表于 2015-12-29 09:47 PM

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发表于 2015-12-29 03:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-29 03:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-29 04:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Keep us posted, thanks

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My neck is growing long while waiting for your charts. I hope you post your charts too.  发表于 2015-12-29 09:48 PM
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发表于 2015-12-29 04:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-29 04:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-12-29 04:31 PM | 显示全部楼层

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发表于 2015-12-29 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
Could you post a chart? Thank you.

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I'll post my swing chart in below which shows sell signals kicking in soon.  发表于 2015-12-29 09:51 PM
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发表于 2015-12-29 04:55 PM | 显示全部楼层

从今天收盘价往下跌30点,也只跌到昨天的最低价。如果今天大涨仅仅是年底的 window dressing 的话,一月份应该很容易看到spx 2020。当然一月份再逼空也不是不可能,只是我觉得一月份跌的可能性较大。
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-29 09:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
HappyMoney 发表于 2015-12-29 04:55 PM
从今天收盘价往下跌30点,也只跌到昨天的最低价。如果今天大涨仅仅是年底的 window dressing 的 ...

I don't know if that +30pts pulling back will happen after market close today because that special signal has not been triggered yet.  Speaking of which, I'll buy some puts by using 5% of my portfolio once swing signals are confirmed on the downside.  So far, it's half confirmed before market close today.

There is very likely a short-term top sometime during January as my short-term signals are in the final rallying phase.  Until then, I'll trade on both sides based on swing signals.
sc.png

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发表于 2015-12-30 12:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 09:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
**** THAT SPECIAL SIGNAL IS TRIGGERED TODAY ****

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发表于 2015-12-30 09:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2015-12-30 09:41 AM
**** THAT SPECIAL SIGNAL IS TRIGGERED TODAY ****

刚上来就看见这贴。

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 09:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
Strategy:  5-minute chart signal indicates a rebound very soon???  I'll either wait for it to rebound first or making a decision after 10am to buy some puts.  Let's see.

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 10:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
Already bought 2-put trade and both are in the money.  I'm planning to hold until swing signals are reversed to the buy side.
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 11:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
Now is the painful part monitoring my trades swinging back & forth between my entry point.  

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 11:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
Blue vertical lines indicate that market consolidated for a while before moving down further.  Red vertical lines indicate that market went straight down in one shot.  It does not matter which route market takes, both suggest a lower low ahead.
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wonderful charts!  发表于 2015-12-30 11:38 AM

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发表于 2015-12-30 12:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks for sharing!
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-12-30 01:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
I'd be VERY DISAPPOINTED if bulls manage to rebound from here until close.  I probably go to find some bear meats to add into my plain congee soup tonight if bears fail me here

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