SPX 2015-11-13

austinjoe

SPX is on the 5F level -- 2 zone down trend to test 30F zone build in first half of Oct 2015. 1971.99 [1990.72, 1991.62] 2022.34.

Update:

Top area also could build a 30F zone 2062.50 [2090.00, 2109.15] 2116.70 from Oct 28 -- Sept 6. This would serve as next SPX 5F level up move check point. A potential 3rd sell if SPX bounce back under 2009.00.

Right now, the current 5F down trend is very strong as no 趋势背驰 on 5F level. 1F level is 2 zone down trend as well and it's in 背驰段, SPX takes 4 hour to drop from 2062.35 to 2027.80 with a gap [2044.35, 2045.96] before the last 1F zone, watch SPX next monday action -- BEAR needs to reach 2041.75 - 34.55 = 2007.20 as quick as it could to void the 1F 趋势背驰段.

BULL needs to defend [1990.72, 1991.62] to bounce up SPX to get a 3rd buy on 5F level to ensure that 2015 year end rally alive. BULL takes 14 TD (Trading Days) to rise from 1990.72 to 2116.70, while BEAR spends 8 TD to drop to 2023.04, BEAR has 6 more TD to breach the 1990.72.

源济

谢谢分享，周末愉快！

Elephant

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捷思

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2015-11-14 04:22 PM

Would you please share your view on various 中枢 status, especially the high level ones -- 30F, Day, Week? Thanks!

捷思

austinjoe 发表于 2015-11-14 11:03 PM
Would you please share your view on various 中枢 status, especially the high level ones -- 30F, Da ...

es 4hour

es 1hour

georgeyn

谢谢!

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2015-11-15 11:17 AM
es 4hour

es 1hour

Thanks a lot for sharing your view here! Appreciate your charts on these time frame.

ES 4H and 1H charts are excellent. On 4H chat, I'd build zone use 2/3/4 笔 so that the low of 6 would serve as 3rd buy on this zone.

On SPY Day / Week chart, it seems you are using 笔 directly. But Day chat SPY high on 09/17/2015 is less then 08/21/2015 high 203.94, still lower than the 底分型 up edge? I remember that you used to use SPY 1 min chart to get 笔和线段 for 1F走势 and then build it up -- 递归 to high level 5F, 30F, Day, Week... Do you happen to have the result of these build up? 5F走势 or 30F走势 would be greatly appreciated.

My 2 cents, the level on drop from 09/17 and rise from 10/29 low are different. the up from 10/29 is 1 level higher than the down from 09/17/2015.

捷思

9/17/2015 is less then 08/21/2015-correct
没有递归。按照笔定义确实不成笔。看macd翻绿了，算一笔也合理。
9/29之后的走势确实比9/17-9/29的走势复杂一些。
谢谢分享！

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2015-11-15 04:56 PM
9/17/2015 is less then 08/21/2015-correct
没有递归。按照笔定义确实不成笔。看macd翻绿了，算一笔也合理 ...

Thank you for your reply. Just missed it by split seconds. It's ok no 递归 result as it's too tedious and I dropped this way as well. I lost my free 1 min data also plays a role here :-o)

ES opened gap down and 1985 is the key for bull to defend.