送张图给九哥

棋王

既然你天天盼跌，转贴一张图，让你乐一下。

http://charts.stocktwits.net/pro ... 5014.png?1368735311

ysc

usamonkey

jimwang

wzhang

操作思路清晰，

开小差

开小差

不过我好像真的觉得today 是短期顶

bigbadwolf

http://www.marketmontage.com/201 ... 28Market+Montage%29



SPX Reaching Historical Extremes on Weekly/Monthly Chart

By: Mark Hanna
Posted on: May 15, 2013 at 1:09 pm

We are starting to see some very extreme readings on our monthly and weekly index charts since there has been no correction this year.  I posted below first the monthly chart of the S&P 500 going back 15 years showing bollinger bands – rarely do we get above the upper monthly one, and never have we been this far above during this time frame.  Then below that I posted (with 4 charts of 4 years each) the weekly data and you can see we are at a rare time when the index is above the weekly bollinger band as well.  This non stop rally is getting very historical.

Monthly – we've never been this far above the upper bollinger band in the S&P 500 during the last 15 years, and that includes the 1999 stock market bubble (which was more NASDAQ focused of course!)  Only thing similar is 2006-2007 where there were a few months we skimmed just over the upper bollinger but nothing to the current degree in May 2013.

Weekly – this level of extreme does happen every few years but rare.

Mid 2009 – Mid 2013

Mid 2005 – Mid 2009

Mid 2001 – Mid 2005

Mid 1997 – Mid 2001



For reference I did a 15 year monthly chart for Japan's Nikkei which is in its own universe right now – so yes it can get more crazy I suppose.

Majia123

现在的市场已经进入了高速阶段，使用常规TA的时候要多少加入一些bullish bias。 1600这种目标以前的市场可以到，而且之前早已经去过很多遍了，但这一段儿市场是很难到的了。

能去1630-1635日内下探一根针就真的是很给熊机会了。。。

redflag

Bencat

dxzhu

拐点

就跌4点？

当时惘然

顶一下

Diffusion

trend

Majia123 发表于 2013-5-16 11:30 PM
现在的市场已经进入了高速阶段，使用常规TA的时候要多少加入一些bullish bias。 1600这种目标以前的市场可以 ...

the question is why? What's the force to push mkt to this high level?

棋王

这张图作废了，，周末重心画。。。。

Majia123

trend 发表于 2013-5-17 01:45 PM
the question is why? What's the force to push mkt to this high level?

Answers are not limited. Fed is printing money and government needs to lock these money into the market reservoir to prevent bad inflation. outside of US economies tanked, which made US the best investment location.....  There are always strong needs to push up the market as long as it is possible, especially in the best and the worst time.

I don't really care why. As a trade, it's totally irrelevant to me, and there are too much lies and viciousness in it. Just simply fuck the shitty market hard.

拐点

棋王 发表于 2013-5-17 02:43 PM
这张图作废了，，周末重心画。。。。

不用画了，现在画什么都不可能靠谱了

Diffusion

拐点 发表于 2013-5-17 03:13 PM
不用画了，现在画什么都不可能靠谱了