01/19/2013 Weekend Update

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:22 PM

Weekend update thread.
Algo from stocking is overbought, plus seasonality factor, so might be small pullback next week.
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114439#p114439

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:24 PM

II and AAII. I don't think they're extreme enough.
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114440#p114440

当时惘然 · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:30 PM

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:31 PM

You may disagree if I say $VIX collapsed today but certainly $UVXY bulls were capitulated.
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114441#p114441

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:35 PM

$VXX volume surged too.
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114442#p114442

happylux · 发表于 2013-1-18 10:51 PM

Cobra 发表于 2013-1-18 10:35 PM
$VXX volume surged too.
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=801&p=114442#p114442

老大，这个volume surge后发生什么啦？

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:03 PM

happylux 发表于 2013-1-18 09:51 PM
老大，这个volume surge后发生什么啦？

volume surge要看发生在啥地方。

如果是一轮下跌后，突然放量，那么意味着大家都割肉了，因此很可能要反弹了。

如果第一天下跌，放量，那是很熊的说。

根据这个标准，你说今天UVXY放量意味着什么？

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-18 11:23 PM

An interesting SPX Price Volume pattern. $SPX
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114447#p114447

befriend · 发表于 2013-1-19 02:26 AM

dsp · 发表于 2013-1-19 03:00 AM

Cobra 发表于 2013-1-18 11:03 PM
volume surge要看发生在啥地方。

如果是一轮下跌后，突然放量，那么意味着大家都割肉了，因此很可能要 ...

"如果是一轮下跌后，突然放量，那么意味着大家都割肉了，因此很可能要反弹了。"

ddd · 发表于 2013-1-19 08:15 PM

I could not hold Sam back. He opened 500 SPX June 1425 puts on Friday. That's only the first batch, and he often builds 1000 to 3000 contracts position on each move.

I still think it was a little bit too early though.

Poo · 发表于 2013-1-19 11:32 PM

本帖最后由 Poo 于 2013-1-20 12:37 AM 编辑

ddd 发表于 2013-1-19 09:15 PM
I could not hold Sam back. He opened 500 SPX June 1425 puts on Friday. That's only the first batch, ...

well, if he is a position trader. It takes time to build up the stack. So I do not think it is wrong though, if he intended to build up to 3000.

you would not/could not get all in at the top top in one you shot, would you?

ps what vehicle is he trading on, spx option? s&p500pmsettledindex ?

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-1-20 03:03 AM

Cobra 发表于 2013-1-18 07:03 PM
volume surge要看发生在啥地方。

如果是一轮下跌后，突然放量，那么意味着大家都割肉了，因此很可能要 ...

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-21 01:21 PM

Here's how Canadians forecast SPX tomorrow. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114480#p114480

Cobra · 发表于 2013-1-21 04:46 PM

Here's the final Canadians see where SPX would be tomorrow morning. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=114491#p114491

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[灌水] 01/19/2013 Weekend Update