Forex/Futures ST for Week 09/23 - 09/28

greenback

Well first an update on last week's late entries ... ZB still going well but GC was stopped out on Sun after triggering the stop loss set to be Fri's low ...

First the bond moves:

I see three up legs already, and ZN is testing the previous high of 132.3. Maybe it will rest a while first ... ZB is similar but weaker ... So it's a good idea to out half or all if you want ...

On the bullish side, they are both consolidating after cover a higher low. The new targets are shown on the chart.

Anyway, should set the stop loss to break even, i.e. the higher low ...

greenback

It looks GC is holding well, we should go back in now ... stop loss today's low, and target previous high 1787.

greenback

Let's see whether CL has bottomed, it would be double bottom if so ...

greenback

Brave souls can jump into AUD now ... three push downs have completed, higher high and higher low have emerged ... I'll wait for this bar to finish ...

greenback

EURO is doing a similar thing as AUD but stronger ... time to play bullish bets.

greenback

Let's wait a few hours to update stock indices to see how things would go this week ...

greenback

If Sun's S/R can be taken out, the bullish bet would be Fri's high ... in the next day or so ...
So far ES is still stuck in a range on the 4h chart ...

MFTHT

瞎掰：

看明天上午能不能上破这根压力线了，至今还感受不到牛牛的冲劲儿，尽管今天上午忍不住进了ES.
如果明天上午不能上破或有假上破，下午回测下面的支撑弹起，夜里下破——短期回调开始。
俺喜欢后面这个剧本，等着摆地铺。
怎样都行，就是别在这两根线之间做俯卧撑了。
（下面这根红线支撑挺牛的，是原来周线的压力被上破转化的）

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-24 10:42 PM
瞎掰：

看明天上午能不能上破这根压力线了，至今还感受不到牛牛的冲劲儿，尽管今天上午忍不住进了ES.

Your draw shows it's a bit more bullish ... Let's hope for the best, I was back to GC as well today.

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-9-25 12:04 AM
Your draw shows it's a bit more bullish ... Let's hope for the best, I was back to GC as well toda ...

我希望这里回调一下，牛牛走得健康一些。而且摆地铺能赚的多些。但又害怕前面已有HH和今早的HL, 如果不买多牛牛就这么冲上去，这波会踏空，所以今早闭着眼睛就冲进去了。现在希望就算明早冲不过去，我应该还有平出的机会，等着再在底下摆地铺。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-25 12:17 AM
我希望这里回调一下，牛牛走得健康一些。而且摆地铺能赚的多些。但又害怕前面已有HH和今早的HL, 如果不买 ...

So our bullish bets are doing good ...

greenback

Okay, 100% target for ZB was reached overnight, i.e. the previous high, ~148.14.

greenback

Bonds are retreating ... since there was no reducing momentum in the last up leg, I have drawn the new upward targets ...
However I will wait for the pull back to finish first to assess the pattern further.

greenback

CL is more like a double bottom, let's wait for it to complete ...

greenback

Half of our GC target was met overnight ... 1778, that is 10 point, $1K profit already. If you want to wait more, the final target is previous high, 1788 ...

greenback

greenback 发表于 2012-9-25 12:06 PM
Half of our GC target was met overnight ... 1778, that is 10 point, $1K profit already. If you want  ...

Note that I'm using 15m charts to find entry points while using 4h charts for trade decisions.

greenback

EURO made a lower low ... indicating we can't be too bullish any more ...

greenback

Well, AUD is doing fine, probably because Shanghai has stabilized ...

greenback

Well, given the action of EURO, you know that we still have Spain to be taken care of on the plate, I think we need to be less aggressive ...

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-9-25 11:47 AM
So our bullish bets are doing good ...

我的ES早上平出了。恭喜老大的ZB大赚，呵呵。
现在就等着ES摆地铺了, 不过这里可能下去更深些。还没想好从哪里开始往下摆。老大的建议？1420吗？
买了点NG, 第一目标3.02.