Forex/Futures Outlook 07/16 - 07/17

greenback

I'm uploading the figures first and will add comments later tonight ...

Here are the forex:

EURO is reversing as we reviewed on Fri. It's out of the immediate bearish down trend.


JPY has confirmed its strength, retesting the downtrend line in USD/JPY.


AUD broke out of the down trend line and is flirting with the intermediate uptrend line ...


GBP is becoming bullish ... very strange after BOE printed more money???

greenback

Bonds retested the all time high while USD retreated.
Confusing today!

greenback

Apparently the strength in CRUDE is consistent with the weakness in USD ...

GOLD diggers are not sure about QE3 still ... I recommended to stay away with GOLD, and I still do.

greenback

Stock indices are making a bull's flag, but the 1357 in ES would be a key level to watch. Above it, we have a potential bottom formed.
QQQ is weaker than SPY, this is not bull friendly. I guess semi-conductors are lagging ...

greenback

Forex are turning risk-on, bonds are showing risk-off, and stocks are indecisive.

Well, one phrase we often say at these times is "Let's wait and see" ...

It could be due to the weak econ data in the US, which explains the price movements across different asset classes.

chickencoop

顶

chickencoop

just saw big bull bars everywhere

bucks

licai5688

kdkboy

老大不在，心中发慌啊

GBP很奇怪，很多人观察到其走势很强，同时FTSE抗跌，但不怎么涨。又开始糊涂了

greenback

kdkboy 发表于 2012-7-16 10:35 PM
老大不在，心中发慌啊

GBP很奇怪，很多人观察到其走势很强，同时FTSE抗跌，但不怎么涨。又开始糊涂了

FTSE is like SPY in this correction, probably because both BOE and FED are willing to print the bears out of market, while ECB is still not showing its willingness to follow the pack as long as Germany is not in recession.

MFTHT

美国今年大旱，所有农作物的期货都涨疯了：/ZW, /ZC, /ZL, /ZO...
按说，饲料贵了，活牲口（/LE）也应该涨上去。密切关注中。。。

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-7-16 09:02 PM
Forex are turning risk-on, bonds are showing risk-off, and stocks are indecisive.

Well, one phras ...

小声嘟囔一句：俺脚着/ES短期怎么也应该摸一下1370，上周五的旗杆都立起来了。。。， 1370之前之前没什莫像样的阻力了。

MFTHT

MFTHT 发表于 2012-7-16 11:06 PM
美国今年大旱，所有农作物的期货都涨疯了：/ZW, /ZC, /ZL, /ZO...
按说，饲料贵了，活牲口（/LE）也应该涨 ...

刚看到这个：
http://hutong9.net/home.php?mod= ... o=blog&id=40260

奇怪了，猪肉和牛肉（/GF）的期货这两天瀑布了。
看来活牲口（/LE）也要瀑布了？？？

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-7-16 11:17 PM
小声嘟囔一句：俺脚着/ES短期怎么也应该摸一下1370，上周五的旗杆都立起来了。。。， 1370之前之前没什莫 ...

That's my hope too ... should be a second leg to a "new" high in this round. Otherwise, I don't know when to unload more holdings ...

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-7-16 11:26 PM
刚看到这个：
http://hutong9.net/home.php?mod=space&uid=16001&do=blog&id=40260

CORN just retested all time high ...

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-7-16 11:06 PM
美国今年大旱，所有农作物的期货都涨疯了：/ZW, /ZC, /ZL, /ZO...
按说，饲料贵了，活牲口（/LE）也应该涨 ...

Too bad, WHEAT also reached 2011 time.

Guess we need to look at the overview page of futures on finviz everyday to make sure we'll catch the assets while they are taking off.

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-7-16 11:38 PM
CORN just retested all time high ...

这次上破太猛烈了，前高应该会破。现在没人敢空他。

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-7-16 11:41 PM
Too bad, WHEAT also reached 2011 time.

Guess we need to look at the overview page of futures o ...

注意/LE, 日线图昨天（7/16/2012）刚有熊旗下破。是不是也要步/GF后尘？

MFTHT

"由于玉米是不少牲畜的饲料，玉米产量下降直接导致肉类涨价。受天气影响，得克萨斯州一些牧场主缩减畜群规模，这也导致肉价至少在一段时间内居高不下."

为啥/GF跳水？