06/20 - 06/21 DT

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:35 AM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-6-21 01:42 编辑

FED day is behind us ... apparently we are in a potential turning point. We need to know how big moneys are looking at the FED actions.

Since the next big market moving news will likely come from Europe, let's start from currencies ...
EURO is holding pretty good today ... still above 1.265 ... I expect it to test 1.275 again ...

JPY is very interesting ... the first breakout from triangle was a false one, as often is the case in triangle breakouts ... JPY is turning decisively weaker on this FED day. What does it mean?
Since USD/JPY depends strongly on the rate difference between JPY bond and USD bond. A likely explanation is that JPY traders are betting USD bond rates will go higher, but do we see this? Looks like they are correct so far ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:41 AM

Both ZB and ZN charts are turning bearish ... we had another trend line break down ... It's time to stay away from bonds unless they both can break out of the complex bottom pattern ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:48 AM

I have to say GOLD is holding pretty good ... even if it broke down the short term trend line, but it stopped at the intermediate term trend line.

Crude broke down from the triangle as expected ... however, this down leg is much smaller than the previous one. It's likely that we finally will see a bottom soon.

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:50 AM

Finally, I don't think the stocks are bearish ... i.e. I'm maintaining my bullish view on them ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:52 AM

In summary, the market overall liked the FED actions ... big moneys are still in the risk-on mode ... and they are looking forward to further good news from Europe.

dsp · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:56 AM

greenback 发表于 2012-6-21 01:52
In summary, the market overall liked the FED actions ... big moneys are still in the risk-on mode .. ...

Good news.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-21 01:22 AM

greenback 发表于 2012-6-20 22:41
Both ZB and ZN charts are turning bearish ... we had another trend line break down ... It's time to ...

Game of bonds is over. fading faster than I thought.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-21 01:24 AM

I have been watching oil for a loooooooooooooooooong while.
it takes too long to see its bottom.

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-21 02:36 AM

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-6-21 02:24
I have been watching oil for a loooooooooooooooooong while.
it takes too long to see its bottom.

Usually energy section is not the first one come back after a major correction ... let's see whether this is the case this time around ... if so, it would take some time to turn lower or stay low, which would be good for consumers ...

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 07:56 AM

es 大图上看S 很强，目前还holding well,但是不破则以，一破惊人，做2手准备吧。

Forevergreen · 发表于 2012-6-21 08:38 AM

GM......

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 08:47 AM

本帖最后由 azure4068 于 2012-6-21 09:52 编辑

我说过1350以上 long,结果一直没有决定性的突破1350,now, 感觉es还要test yesterday's low(this is wishful thinking).
cobra also think the pull back is due.

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 08:49 AM

gc, cl全部沉了下去，long signal didn't trigger, so the market tell us not to do wishful thinking~~

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 08:59 AM

10am news. be careful

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 09:03 AM

ok, short mode triggered

Forevergreen · 发表于 2012-6-21 09:06 AM

The results of a private sector stress test on Spanish banks are due today

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 09:23 AM

key time!!

胡同儿串子 · 发表于 2012-6-21 12:32 PM

GC's next level is 1550 and how low can crude go? no one knows

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-6-21 02:48 PM

azure4068 发表于 2012-6-21 08:56
es 大图上看S 很强，目前还holding well,但是不破则以，一破惊人，做2手准备吧。

牛牛死无全尸啊。。。满鸿遍野

jlht · 发表于 2012-6-22 01:00 AM

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06/20 - 06/21 DT

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