5/7 DT

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-7 08:22 AM

up up up

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 08:31 AM

update ... it's time to get out to watch how US market responds ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 08:31 AM

both EURO and ES reached initial rebound targets/levels ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 08:36 AM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-7 14:25 编辑

The Asia traders' initial response to the EURO news is bogus ...
The French 10yr rate is still going down!
Screen shot 2012-05-07 at 6.34.55 AM.png

Screen shot 2012-05-07 at 6.34.55 AM.png

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-7 10:01 AM

today's high was in????????????

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-7 10:39 AM

Yeah, LZ opens a new one (not use the 05/06 one).

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-7 10:41 AM

A range day around previous close, +/- 2 pts.

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-7 11:55 AM

赌突破，赚了3个pt

Jennyahwu · 发表于 2012-5-7 12:00 PM

回复 azure4068 的帖子

xle? will break out? thanks

azure4068 · 发表于 2012-5-7 12:36 PM

回复 Jennyahwu 的帖子

大图上看是Overshoot后反弹，我看好回调到均线附近。（涨）

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 01:20 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-7 14:24 编辑

update ...

es is heading into a key R/S level, the down trendline is approaching ... I would take my second half out here ...
Overall, the rebound is stronger than I initially thought ...
It seems that the Sunday low is probably THE test of the 1338 already and the coming lows won't be lower ...
Let's keep our fingers crossed.

zn is back-testing the neckline again on the daily chart ... I'm drawing a conservative C&H target, which is already out of range of the chart ... anyway, my bullish sentiment on the bonds is not changing ... I will add more bond holdings in the coming days to weeks ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 01:24 PM

Updates on the EURO bond markets:

France Govt Oats Btan 10 Yr Oat
2.79500 -0.03100 -1.10% As of 11:59:00 ET on 05/07/2012.

Italy Govt Bonds 10 Year Gross Yield
5.40400 -0.03000 -0.55% As of 11:59:00 ET on 05/07/2012.

SPANISH GOVERNMENT GENERIC BONDS - 10 YR NOTE
5.75800 +0.02400 +0.42% As of 11:59:00 ET on 05/07/2012.

German Government Bonds 10 Yr Dbr
1.60500 +0.02100 +1.33% As of 11:59:00 ET on 05/07/2012.

These are consistent with the bullish moves on the equities ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 01:31 PM

Update from Friday's chart ... the lower trendline is updated ...

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-7 01:45 PM

Thanks greenback for your nice updated charts.

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 03:27 PM

update ...

Indeed ES advance got stopped by the key R/S ...

ZN backtest has also reached a R/S ... I added my position on ZN here ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-7 03:28 PM

See you all tonight! Probably midnight ...

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-7 03:56 PM

For DT Club.

开小差 · 发表于 2012-5-7 07:33 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-5-7 09:36
The Asia traders' initial response to the EURO news is bogus ...
The French 10yr rate is still goin ...

绿大：
这个rate down 是否表示 bond 还要上升？if so， that‘s not good for equity mkt,right?

greenback · 发表于 2012-5-8 01:31 AM

开小差发表于 2012-5-7 20:33
绿大：
这个rate down 是否表示 bond 还要上升？if so， that‘s not good for equity mkt,right?

We are talking about the French bond, NOT the German bond or the US bond ...

If the EURO bond market perceives the Socialist win in France to be bad, the French bond should have been sold hard, leading to higher rate. Thus, it would be more expensive for French to borrow money, turning it into another Italy or Spain ...

But this was not what happened on Mon. The Socialist win was widely expected, and it might be good for the new President to push a growth policy in Europe. Note that many PIIGS countries are in worse shape due to the ongoing harsh austerity policy.

开小差 · 发表于 2012-5-8 06:53 AM

greenback 发表于 2012-5-7 14:24
Updates on the EURO bond markets:

France Govt Oats Btan 10 Yr Oat

French and Italy's bond down, German and spain's bond up 怎么可以说明它们consistent with Equity up？ normally bond up，equity down， right? 我糊涂了？

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5/7 DT

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