10/06/2011 Market Outlook (Higher High Ahead)

Cobra

SHORT-TERM: HIGHER HIGH AHEAD

没说的，至少至少还有一冲，因为很少有Major Accumulation Day是exactly top的。

 

明天是Non Farm Payroll day，一般规律是高开低走，或者低开高走。下面的图标示了自2009年大牛市以来所有的Non Farm Payroll day，数据上看，明天牛熊各有一半的机会，不过最近4次都红了。

 

根据下面的图对明天的开盘做个猜测吧。由于重力的作用，股价是不能无限制的远离均线的，对于SPX，涨到EMA ENV(20, 2.5)似乎是个极限。今天就几乎收在极限上，明天大高开的话，就是说没有极限了，因此能否hold，是个问题，特别是大家知道Non Farm Payroll day的一般规律是高开低走，或者低开高走。

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX DOWNSIDE TARGET  IS 1,000, THE CORRECTION COULD LAST 1 TO 2 MONTHS

See 08/19 Market Outlook and 09/30 Market Outlook for details.

SEASONALITY: BEARISH MONDAY, BULLISH OCTOBER AND 4TH QUARTER

See 09/30 Market Outlook for details. The outlook also includes the October day to day seasonality chart.

SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY  PUBLIC CHART LIST: 

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 3 of 3 SELL Intermediate 5 of 5 SELL 3 of 5 NEUTRAL Cobra Impulse in SELL mode; Non-Stop in SELL mode. Short-term UP 6 of 6 NEUTRAL

TREND COMMENT QQQ & Weekly DOWN   IWM & Weekly DOWN   SSEC & Weekly DOWN   XIU & Weekly DOWN   DAX & Weekly DOWN   TLT & Weekly UP   UUP & Weekly UP   GLD & Weekly DOWN   USO & Weekly DOWN

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list. UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered. DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

oda

haha

浪淘金

cw8888

coolboy

atrader

thanks

cw8888

当时惘然

Jinan90

silkway

wxw

jy1029

cc2265

rosyrosy

bayliner1979

总算有个MAD了。

Ave

sooners

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aimei

thanks Laoda

dzhxs3

silicon_beaver

Thanks.