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[放炮] The worst senario

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发表于 2011-7-27 10:36 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 Diver 于 2011-7-27 23:37 编辑

Day after day down till Aug 2 closing bell. After midnight Aug 2, there is still no deal on debt ceiling talks, so ES drops >100 points after midnight Aug 2. Bears all become pandas and bulls all become buffalos. However, the next day before cash market opens, superman 08 uses his "Yes, we can!" power and raises debt ceiling, thus stock market opens gap up >2%, instead, and closes >5% up.
发表于 2011-7-27 10:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
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Bears all become pandas and bulls all become buffalos


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发表于 2011-7-27 10:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-27 11:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
yes we can
buy dip on Aug 1 close then.
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发表于 2011-7-27 11:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-7-27 23:36
Day after day down till Aug 2 closing bell. After midnight Aug 2, there is still no deal on debt cei ...


a small flaw in the story: overnight ES won't drop more than 60 points as circuit breaker will be triggered o/w.

:-)
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发表于 2011-7-27 11:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 12:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
好玩!
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发表于 2011-7-28 12:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 01:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 03:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 06:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-7-28 08:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-28 11:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
COUNTDOWN DAYS.

So far, SPX dropped four days in a row while DJIA dropped five days in a row. Three more days to go till midnight Aug 2. I guess it will keep sliding day after day towards the deadline.--Maybe sliding at tortoise pace from now on. It is very likely that we see a long needle on daily chart every day.

This is not a race between rabbit and tortoise. Instead, this is a race between snail and tortoise.--US debt ceiling talk is the snail and stock market is the tortoise.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-31 02:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
可能顶多还要再跌一天半。

华尔街很可能在最后关头再来一把逼宫手法,以迫使国债上限不敢不提高,否则大家接下来都没得玩了。
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-7-31 03:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Fat Finger again on next Monday (tomorrow)?
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发表于 2011-7-31 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-1 01:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
fat finger again tomorrow?
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-8-2 04:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bulls' very savior is ADP surprise tomorrow. NFP is too far and QE3 is not in the vision yet now.
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发表于 2011-8-2 04:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
wow! so far so 准!
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