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SHORT-TERM: IN WAIT AND SEE MODE
没有结论，看下周吧。
- 周一早盘也许还会软一软（不确定），因为周五收盘比较弱，可能形成了一个小的Bear Flag。
- 但是无法排除reversal of reversal of reversal of reversal，周一大涨特涨的可能，因为SPY整了个Symmetrical Triangle而QQQ还是Ascending Triangle，因此图形看，并不熊。
- 如果我在05/06 Market Outlook里提到的bearish for the next 2 weeks还有效的话，下周应该有80%的机率再次收红。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX NOW IN 1352 TO 1381 WAVE 5 PRICE TARGET AREA, WATCH FOR POTENTIAL REVERSAL
中期维持05/06 Market Outlook的说法，注意wave 5 ends, primary wave 3 sharply down的可能性，只是注意，目前连warning都不是。
两个图值得注意：
4.0.7a Collection of Leading Indicators I，negative divergence从未有过的巨大，所以确实有中期不妙的可能性。
OEX Open Interest Ratio还是很高，看着非常像2007年的情况。
SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY, BEARISH FRIDAY
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:
- Monday before May expiration, Dow up 19 of last 22, average gain 0.6%.
- May expiration day, Dow down 12 of last 20, average loss 0.2%.
For May seasonality day by day please refer 04/29 Market Outlook.
ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:
ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:
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- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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狗仔卡
发表于 2011-5-14 05:35 PM
提升卡
置顶卡
沉默卡
喧嚣卡
变色卡
发表于 2011-5-14 05:40 PM
wait and see mode! 
