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| BULLISH |
09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months. |
| BEARISH |
1.0.6 SPY Unfilled Gaps: 24 unfilled gaps, the max is 24.
12/20 Market Recap: Smart/Dumb money confidence spread too high.
0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: ROC(30) >= 9, topped? (Due to Quantitative Easing, I’m not sure if it still works)
1.2.0 INDU Leads Market: INDU had a lower low, so SPX might follow eventually?
*8.2.7b Record High ISEE Equities Only Index Readings 2010: Record high, top is close?
0.2.3 NYSE McClellan Oscillator: Hindenburg Omen confirmed.
0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPC MA(10) too high, so topped?
6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals: Too low, so topped?
0.0.2 Combined Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Trend line broken, so topped? Failed!
12/31 Market Recap: Lowest ATR(10) readings in 13 years, so topped?
0.2.2 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: Both CPC and CPCE are low, so topped? | |
| SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
STOP LOSS |
INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU |
| Non-Stop |
09/07 L |
N/A |
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| ST Model |
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Buy mode doesn’t mean long, a 2nd buy signal is needed to enter long. |
| Short-term |
N/A |
N/A |
Trend is UP. I hold trapped long position overnight. | |
| MY STRATEGY: STOCK |
BOND |
EURO |
OIL |
GOLD |
| Long but I will be very careful here. |
Long |
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Long |
Long | |
SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE MORE ON THE UPSIDE
没啥说的，intraday pattern looks like a Symmetrical Triangle，所以明天可能还有一冲。今天的After Bell Quick Summary也提到了，明天不仅仅是Bullish Friday，并且Non Farm Payroll day也是generally bullish。
四个提示：
- 今天的 ISEE Equities Only Index又是收在300以上，way too bullish，当然，who cares。
- 明天如果大涨特涨，别忘了11/05 Market Recap里提到的2个short setup，至少volume pattern肯定是符合了，只要本周close in green。
- 最下面的ETF table，不知不觉已经有4 out of 6 short signal了。
- 关于明天Non Farm Payroll day，general pattern是高开低走，低开高走。下面的图来自Bespoke。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD BE WAVE 5 UP TO SPX 1300+, PIVOT TOP COULD BE AROUND 01/05 TO 01/12
See 12/31 Market Recap for more details.
SEASONALITY: BULLISH TUESDAY, JANUARY’S 1ST 5 DAYS IS AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
See 12/31 Market Recap for more details.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
- Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
- Conclusions can be confirmed endlessly, but trading wise, you have to take actions at certain risk level as soon as you feel the confirmation is enough. There’s no way for me to adapt to different risk levels therefore no trading signals will be given in this report except the mechanical signals such as SPY ST Model.
- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- Trading signals in OTHER ETFs table are mechanical signals. See HERE for back test results. 08/31 L, for example, means Long on 08/31.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when I see at least one higher high and higher low on weekly chart.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when I see at least one lower high and lower low on weekly chart.
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狗仔卡
发表于 2011-1-6 08:21 PM
提升卡
置顶卡
沉默卡
喧嚣卡
变色卡
发表于 2011-1-6 08:22 PM
Bandeng!
发表于 2011-1-6 08:26 PM
