CM 的 aone buy signal 挺准, 只不过是量没上去, 今天是 lock up period 最后一天, 明天IPO holder 可以自由地买卖, 那么 aone 的 venture capital, who hold a large position of aone, and insiders, can decide the direction if they opt to sell it to open market or not. But since aone is not much higher than IPO price, I doubt it would cause much fluctuation.
Mar22, 2010 BARRONS
The Volatility Paradox
Blame dull markets and hedge-fund pullbacks.
THE GREAT RIDDLE IN THE OPTIONS MARKET, and one of the stock market's most vexing issues, is why implied volatility is so low when investor fears are so high.
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The reason volatility is trending lower has more to do with complicated forces converging on the options market, rather than with oft-cited investor complacency. When stock prices "melt up," options-pricing models can get cloudy. Because recent stock action wasn't tumultuous, as recorded by realized volatility, pricing models reflexively lowered implied volatility -- the view of the future -- based on what happened in the past.
...... http://online.barrons.com/article/SB126903911394364763.html