|
|
楼主 |
发表于 2012-4-8 08:13 PM
|
显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-4-8 20:13 编辑
Quote from ScalperJoe:
snowrider,
I am discussing the current waves with trader collegue regarding the S&P, and we have come to the following conclusion that Wave 5 of Wave 3 has completed, and the S&P is currently in Wave 4. I've also read and heard that Wave 4 of the larger pattern already occurred, however our analysis is there has not been any significant pullback to justify a completed Wave 4.
Our wave counts of the larger pattern (weekly chart):
Wave 1 from 1,075 to 1,293
Wave 2 from 1,293 to 1,159
Wave 3 from 1,159 to 1,422
Wave 4 will result in a choppy "A-B-C" pattern, perhaps stalling around 1,320 (38.2% fib of Wave 3), although holding well above the top of Wave 1 at 1,293.
Then a rebound Wave 5 pattern which will break the top of Wave 3 of 1,422, hence completing the 5 wave pattern that began on October.
A larger correction (perhaps 50%) of the completed 5 wave pattern will create the next big buying oppourtunity.
Please provide feedback/comments to this analysis, thanks.
ScalperJoe- Thanks for sharing your thought. That scenario is a good and valid one. Please see attached wave count. Your wave count is labeled there as [A][B][C][D][E] in green line alternative count. Currently my preferred count is that a wave-[[B]] (which is your wave-3) has ended, and a big collapse all the way to 960 area in the end of this year is underway. I will pay very close attention if SP ever goes to 1320 area to see if it has any sign of bottoming there. The 1320 area will be the cross road between a real collapse or a final leg up.
 |
评分
-
1
查看全部评分
-
|
狗仔卡
发表于 2012-4-2 02:56 PM
发表于 2012-4-2 11:28 PM
