三言两语话大盘

jasmin256

青春豆

SP 500 在2周的时间里跌了14% ( 870-743)。我感觉大盘极弱。甚至比去年10月，11月
大跌前的基础都弱。如果一周后我的感觉仍然存在，SP500 或许可在3月中旬跌到650
。目前的反弹我不敢指望多高，如果SP 能收到810， ...
青春豆 发表于 2009-2-25 12:46

真没见过这么跌的。去年10月上旬大跌1周后反弹了10几个百分点才继续下跌，11月
上旬大跌前还大涨到O8当选。这次从2月中旬到现在，只有昨天还像个反弹的样子，
怎么今天又不能坚持了。坚持住，雄起。

青春豆

收盘没忍住进场做多SP。 bought BGU @27.50 with 1/3 power
青春豆 发表于 2009-2-13 17:29

19.50 sold.   惨了点。may buy bgz tomorrow.

青春豆

123# 青春豆
bought BGZ at 79.88 this morning with 1/3 of non margin power.

青春豆

123# 青春豆
bought BGZ at 79.88 this morning with 1/3 of non margin power.
青春豆 发表于 2009-3-13 12:03

20多天前30% 割肉出了。整个ACCOUNT 跌了10%。不提也罢。
目前感觉大约10天内市场不弱。可逢低做多。保守估计SP500 的高点可达910 或更
高。10 天之后可能会下跌。到时再看。所谓逢低做多，即本周若SP500 连跌2天，可在第二天收市进场。不过最好下周三
之前出来。OE 周不好玩。

青春豆

If tomorrow SP 500 drop more than 10 points ( close under 905), I would long the market ( buy SPY and/or BGU ) with 1/3 of the buying power with stop of 5-10 points SP500 drop.  Then, if Friday SP 500 drop again, no matter I stop out or not, will buy more.  I think by next Wednesday, we may see SP 500 at 940 but I may  not hold my positions for that much.

OE week is hard to trade for me.  I think the market would start to drop after next Thursday and we mey see sp500 under 800. in less than 5 weeks after next week.

moon2966

真的么？谢谢提醒

青春豆

真的么？谢谢提醒
moon2966 发表于 2009-5-6 18:38

股市预测哪有真的假的。 都是猜的。

buctusa

"I think the market would start to drop after next Thursday and we mey see sp500 under 800. in less than 5 weeks after next week."

Maybe we will not see SPX7XX this year...........

青春豆

"I think the market would start to drop after next Thursday and we mey see sp500 under 800. in less than 5 weeks after next week."

Maybe we will not see SPX7XX this year...........

buctusa 发表于 2009-5-6 18:41

没有意识到从940以上跌到800 以下是将近15% 的跌幅。那就改成下周OE后的5-6周里，
SP500 有可能跌10%

青春豆

bought BGU @ 32.90 with 1/3 buying power.  set stop at 32.30 ( about 6 points SP500 drop)

青春豆

bought BGU @ 32.90 with 1/3 buying power.  set stop at 32.30 ( about 6 points SP500 drop)
青春豆 发表于 2009-5-7 16:03

34.00 stop out.  waiting for chance to repurchase.

青春豆

if next Monday SP500 drop, no matter drop big or not, I would long SPY at close. set stop about 1% drop.  Then if Tuesday drop again, I will add more even though my Monday positions stoped out.  But will out all the positions no later than Thursday closing.

青春豆

1/2 power bought SPY @91.10 at close. stop 90.00.
will sell them no later than Thursday close.

intral

Thanks for sharing

青春豆

stoped out after lunch and bought again at 91.00 before close.

青春豆

I think the high of this week would be on Thursday or Friday either intreday or close.

青春豆

stoped out after lunch and bought again at 91.00 before close.
青春豆 发表于 2009-5-12 16:02

sold at 89.45.  I still think that tomorrow will be a up day.  but would like to take the affordable loss in case the market go down tomorrow.

青春豆

从CHART 看，中期大盘有TOPPING 的样子，但至少到目前，我感觉短期大盘底气仍不
弱。若今天收红，可考虑进场做多。

青春豆

大盘连涨三天，跌一下合情合理。
我感觉大盘底气很足。
若今天做空，可考虑收盘时平仓。若明天再跌，无论大跌或小跌，都可在收盘时进
场做多。止损在相应于SP500  5点跌幅处。若第三天(周五)止损出局，而收盘时SP500
仍跌，可考虑再度进场 (止损仍在相应于SP500  5点跌幅处)。