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楼主 |
发表于 2012-9-26 05:19 PM
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No trade for today. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:
Big Troop:
- EFA 10% (10%-09/06)
- EEM 15% (15%-08/31)
- SPY 20% (10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 55%
SAC Troop:
- Cash 100%
The market continued sliding down and broke 1436 (0.5) with no hesitation. Tomorrow it will test next support area at around 1426 (0.618), which is also the high of previous consolidation (08/21). Disregarding that we are seeing a bearish short term, long term trend is still going up. If 1426 fail to hold, we will need to change the big picture.
Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
06/19's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
08/21's high = I
09/04's low = II
09/14's high = III
09/20's low = a
09/21's high = b
09/27's low = IV.c
After wave-IV.c finishes, we will see a wave-V bull run to 1485 or 1496 to end the bull market.
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