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我的交易趋势Setup

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发表于 2011-2-6 11:15 AM | 显示全部楼层


3D 哥,how about ERX, keep holding or need sale?
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发表于 2011-2-6 07:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 114# ddd


   
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-6 11:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 ddd 于 2011-2-7 00:25 编辑
3D 哥,how about ERX, keep holding or need sale?
ninemao 发表于 2011-2-6 11:15



A decision will be influenced by 1) the trend of SPX, 2) the trend of US$; 3) the trend of Oil; and 4) the trend of energy itself in the next few days. The last two days price action looks a healthy small range consolidation after a big jump, a bull flag? At this moment is weighing more heavily on 1). Of course if the market proves I was wrong about the short term trend, I will close all 3x etf, not just ERX.
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发表于 2011-2-7 12:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
What would be a good time fram to hold the 3X etfs to ensure the profit?
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-7 12:29 AM | 显示全部楼层
My goal is to catch the "short-term" trend identified on the daily chart. My Blue/Red dot system is designed for that purpose.
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发表于 2011-2-7 12:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-7 01:47 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-2-7 01:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-9 12:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
Guess what, bears' concerns were not without a "scientific" backing. The bearish Gartley (butterfly) is back, this time on the SPX weekly and daily charts. The signal is "effective" for about five weeks and is "valid" for SPX to go up to 1378.

Last time (few weeks ago) the signal was ultimately expired without a significant reversal, only a minor correction. Will this time be for real?

w1.gif
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发表于 2011-2-9 08:11 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-2-9 08:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks for the update
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-9 04:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
Based on the chart below I can only assume the bullish run will continue in the short-term future. No weaknesses can be seen.

d1.gif

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发表于 2011-2-9 04:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-2-9 06:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-2-9 11:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks! This is really good!
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发表于 2011-2-9 11:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
wow, it seems like the bull just keep running, until we think it can't go down, then....
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-10 04:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 ddd 于 2011-2-10 16:50 编辑
wow, it seems like the bull just keep running, until we think it can't go down, then....
sexydaytrader 发表于 2011-2-9 23:30



Remember there are only three types of market: uptrend, downtrend, and sideways. For trending market, focus the trend reversal, and the sideways, the rhythm.

The keys are: top down analysis - never forget the big picture, and rule based investing - trust your system.

In a trending market there often are "early-enough" warnings. Let's just hope it won't be completely out of whack, this time. If we ride the trend early, there is profit room to cover the trend reversal. Guessing when the trend should turn has not made money for most people. Trend following in a trending market, regardless up or down, has.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-2-10 05:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
The "escalator move" continutes, (unless some unexpected happens in Egypt in the next few days).

H1.png
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发表于 2011-2-10 05:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
i am aslo afraid of egpt ... so choose to wait few days....
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发表于 2011-2-11 09:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
thank you for your update everyday.
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