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发表于 2012-9-25 05:30 PM
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本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-9-25 05:32 PM 编辑
We sold the following stocks today: IWM, SSO, ERX. Today we also sold half of: EEM and EFA, and 1/3 of SPY. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:
Big Troop:
- EFA 10% (10%-09/06)
- EEM 15% (15%-08/31)
- SPY 20% (10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 55%
SAC Troop:
- Cash 100%
The market failed to maintain morning's up move by sliding down and breaking the support area (1450) of recent trading range. The short term trend is going down to find a next support: 1436 (0.5) or 1426 (0.618) on 09/27. Disregarding that we are seeing a bearish short term, long term trend is still going up.
Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
06/19's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
08/21's high = I
09/04's low = II
09/14's high = III
09/20's low = a
09/21's high = b
09/27's low = IV.c
The market picked the purple route to take. After the wave-IV.c finishes, we will see wave V bull run to 1485 or 1496.
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