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发表于 2012-9-7 07:38 PM
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本帖最后由 snowrider 于 2012-9-7 07:39 PM 编辑
We bought ERX today. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:
Big Troop:
- EFA 15% (15%-09/06)
- EEM 20% (20%-08/31)
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 30% (10%-07/05, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- TLT 15% (15%-08/30)
- Cash 0%
SAC Troop:
- ERX 10% (10%-09/07)
- QLD 23% (23%-09/06)
- SSO 24% (24%-09/06)
- XLF 22% (10%-07/30, 12%-07/31)
- FAS 12% (8%-08/13, 4%-08/27)
- NUGT 8% (3%-08/21, 5%-08/27)
- Cash 1%
The market gapped up and closed as a little star today. We are almost fully loaded (except 1% cash left). We don't use margin at this moment for the reason of risk control (, but we might do that later if the market continues moving up). Before any reversal sign is shown, we assume the market will go to the moon. The upside possible resistances are: 1440-1445, 1457-1461, 1485 (09/17), 1493, 1530. Our strategy now is to sit and wait, in order to enjoy the wave riding.
Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
08/21's high = [C]
09/04's low = [D]
09/04's high = 1
09/05's low = 2
We are in the middle of wave-[E].I.3, which could finish next Monday and enter into wave-4 consolidation. Hopefully, we can see 1485 as the first target for the current wave-[E] to end this bull market.
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