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楼主: bayliner1979

[原创] SPX Notes 2009

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发表于 2009-4-20 05:39 PM | 显示全部楼层


谢谢bay老大,我也感觉明天会低开把那个gap填了然后reverse向北
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发表于 2009-4-20 06:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
thx. ding
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发表于 2009-4-20 06:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-20 06:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=45091
47个人(俺是其中之一)上周五收盘时重仓做空。今天出来take credit的不少,其实不过是胡同的一般水平吧(可能稍微偏中上),挤在一辆熊车上(见附图).

其实没啥 ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-20 18:09


DING!

Hoho, great picture! very bold!
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发表于 2009-4-20 06:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
ding!
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发表于 2009-4-20 08:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=45091
47个人(俺是其中之一)上周五收盘时重仓做空。今天出来take credit的不少,其实不过是胡同的一般水平吧(可能稍微偏中上),挤在一辆熊车上(见附图).

其实没啥 ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-20 17:09


thanks, bay laoda.

do you still hold large position on shorts/puts? spx 790 or even 760 is still far far away.
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发表于 2009-4-20 08:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
1097# bayliner1979


谢谢

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发表于 2009-4-20 08:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-20 08:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
俺的空仓周五开的太小了, 早上出的有点早, 还没够对冲长仓。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-20 09:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today I keep a light short position in BigP's survey (to deal with the case if MMs do a consecutive sell-off without any rebound tomorrow).
I expect tomorrow there will be a rebound of 850~855 area (see the phantom bars today) and increase short positions at that moment.


thanks, bay laoda.

do you still hold large position on shorts/puts? spx 790 or even 760 is still far far away.
lite1067 发表于 2009-4-20 21:29
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发表于 2009-4-20 09:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
Smith Laoda,

there was a phantom bar on April 1, pointing to spy 78.4, that may be the target of this pull back?
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发表于 2009-4-20 09:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
1110# bayliner1979
thanks bay!
safa
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发表于 2009-4-20 09:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today I keep a light short position in BigP's survey (to deal with the case if MMs do a consecutive sell-off without any rebound tomorrow).
I expect tomorrow there will be a rebound of 850~855 area ( ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-20 21:00


thanks again, bay laoda. your comments are always very insightful and helpful.

btw, maybe just a coincidence, what you are planning (short on 850) is exactly the same as what I am thinking..... Let's see...
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
bay laoda, how about tomorrow? big big big down???
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 04:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today got up late, login after 40 minutes of opening, immediately cleared all remaining short positions at 830.  And rebuilt these positions in the afternoon at average 845.

Tomorrow likely like 11/10/2008 (if yesterday is the combined version of 11/5 and 11/6).
A long leg Doji with open and close price near today's close.


Today I keep a light short position in BigP's survey (to deal with the case if MMs do a consecutive sell-off without any rebound tomorrow).
I expect tomorrow there will be a rebound of 850~855 area ( ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-20 22:00
6008255a37508.jpg
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:43 PM | 显示全部楼层


Mr. Anderson, you are best!
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bay,你的系统是做pattern matching么,怎么老是说今天像xxday,明天会像xxday
如果是,你match的是哪些参数啊
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发表于 2009-4-21 04:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bayliner,  did you mess up on the dates? yeasterday was a big down day, but 11/5 and 11/6 are both up days.  Could you please double check?   Thanks a lot  lao da!!!
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发表于 2009-4-21 05:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today got up late, login after 40 minutes of opening, immediately cleared all remaining short positions at 830.  And rebuilt these positions in the afternoon at average 845.

Tomorrow likely like 11 ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 16:40



GREAT !! thanks, bay laoda.

now i can have a peaceful sleep..
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发表于 2009-4-21 05:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢bay老大,我也感觉明天会低开把那个gap填了然后reverse向北
staris 发表于 2009-4-20 18:39


靠,如真象你说的就太好了,MM会那么容易让我们小散BUY DIP吗
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