SPX Notes 2009

bayliner1979

Today $SPX repeats last April's OE (4/18/2008).
Tests the BB upperline and retreats at the end.
Today is more similar to 4/18/2008 than yesterday.

As 870 is predicted as one possible close, today's short positions loss 1%, hedging long positions gain 2%.

Expect next week a test of EMA(13).   When it happens, lock some profit on short positions and buy some long position to hedge the remaining short positions (which should all be cleared at 800 if it happens).

buctusa

qiangge

benmao

this OE bull is winner so the call sellers will either deliver stock to call buyers or bought back the call option. any impact to the mrk next week?

someone mentioned before that next week bull will still rule, let's wait and see

bayliner1979

80,82,85,87 are all strikes with huge positions.
SPY closes at 87.0x, right at the minimal cost stock position to kill all those huge option positions by the last 3-day pump.

Now the job is done.  I would guess the pullback is coming immediately.

Finally, I want to say that recently Hutong9 is teemed with some 放炮文化 like the shit-load MITBBS.
Do what the charts tell you, ignore the noise from those fucking big mouths.

this OE bull is winner so the call sellers will either deliver stock to call buyers or bought back the call option. any impact to the mrk next week?

someone mentioned before that next week bull wil ...
benmao 发表于 2009-4-17 19:46

OrangeTea

Thanks。。。

thomast

1085# bayliner1979


“Finally, I want to say that recently Hutong9 is teemed with some 放炮文化 like the shit-load MITBBS.
Do what the charts tell you, ignore the noise from those fucking big mouths.”

Well said.

benmao

老大误会了,偶的这说法是一年多前听到的(不是那写买买提说的),偶也观察了一年多,基本上满有道理的,那就看看下周是否还会应言吧.

谢谢哈

maomi

thanks for your great analysis It becomes my daily routine to read your post

牛熊

:lol

billlogs

zan

ricky

Ding Bay Lao Da

开小差

1085# bayliner1979 thx. ding

asap

leftright

thank you

小咪

1085# bayliner1979


谢谢

bayliner1979

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthread.php?tid=45091
47个人（俺是其中之一）上周五收盘时重仓做空。今天出来take credit的不少，其实不过是胡同的一般水平吧(可能稍微偏中上)，挤在一辆熊车上（见附图）.

其实没啥难的，Rising wedge的上沿是不大会被突破的(已涨了6个星期了！)，就算再碰上沿几次，能涨多少？这时候不做空，什么时候做空？
所以难的不是这个，而是SPX到790，甚至760时，该咋办？是回调到位再往北？还是转势了继续往南？走着瞧吧。

明天多半是个Doji或small body white bar（往后几天继续跌）。
接着大跌一天的可能很小(如果SPX明天再一天跌它个30点，那就肯定是回调迅速到位要涨了)。

80,82,85,87 are all strikes with huge positions.
SPY closes at 87.0x, right at the minimal cost stock position to kill all those huge option positions by the last 3-day pump.

Now the job is done.  I would guess the pullback is coming immediately.

Finally, I want to say that recently Hutong9 is teemed with some 放炮文化 like the shit-load MITBBS.
Do what the charts tell you, ignore the noise from those fucking big mouths.
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-17 20:13

Diver

1097# bayliner1979

formula

leftright