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11/11 大盘分析 - a low vol game day

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发表于 2008-11-11 02:52 PM | 显示全部楼层


QQQ LaoDa:
 Thanks for the guidance... that was a scary spike....phew.. [ 本帖最后由 aght 于 2008-11-11 14:55 编辑 ]
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
see how fast spx sold off after gap fill without OIL support. NOW we need to see if any new BUYERS show up
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
and watch 897, if it breaks down again, the game is over
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
QQQ Lao Da: Is it true that gaps ( up or down ) will be filled very quickly , mostly intraday during consolidation period after a big drop.....? Thanks
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
OIL/commodity sector now is the only one that holds the mkt. their action is most important.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 03:00 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 aght 于 2008-11-11 14:57 发表 QQQ Lao Da: Is it true that gaps ( up or down ) will be filled very quickly , mostly intraday during consolidation period after a big drop.....? Thanks

 

sell off on gap fill caused by short sqeeze in such weak mkt is normal, now unless there are new buyers step in.

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发表于 2008-11-11 03:16 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 14:58 发表 OIL/commodity sector now is the only one that holds the mkt. their action is most important.

 

Laoda, From where (indicators/sector chart/ETF) did you conclude this picture? seems OIL/commodity also dropped a lot during last couple of month with other sectors, I kind of think OIL/Commodity is a last bull sector at the end of bull market cycle. Thanks again.

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 03:25 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 comecomegogo 于 2008-11-11 15:16 发表   Laoda, From where (indicators/sector chart/ETF) did you conclude this picture? seems OIL/commodity also dropped a lot during last couple of month with other sectors, I kind of think OIL ...

 

energy sectors, OIH, FLR, CVX, XOM, CHK, XLE, XLB compare them now vs. 10/10, and 11/5, 11/6. 

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 03:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
looks like the Game is over for longs, you guyers didn't catch longs, right?
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:40 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 22# QQQ 的帖子

Thanks, Lao Da! I got some puts,is it safe to keep to tomorrow? Thank you!
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Q老大好,大家好,俺面壁回来了
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 15:36 发表 looks like the Game is over for longs, you guyers didn't catch longs, right?



报告老大,没有long,   but not sure when to cover the shorts though...

Thanks..





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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 03:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
today's high and low defined 2 most important lines for tomorrow, I lean towards the down side break down. if you are DT, then use 897 as stop, otherwise, use today's HOD as stop
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 15:36 发表 looks like the Game is over for longs, you guyers didn't catch longs, right?
thanks. you posts saved me
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
破了今天下午的高点就COVER,要么等到850-860再COVER,俺瞎说的
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
sure! but GS and JPM are still strong, maybe the government still wanta struggle for stopping the crash
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
狗剩太强了,下一波就LONG它了
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
fighting for 897
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发表于 2008-11-11 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 15:46 发表 today's high and low defined 2 most important lines for tomorrow, I lean towards the down side break down. if you are DT, then use 897 as stop, otherwise, use today's HOD as stop



thanks...





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发表于 2008-11-11 03:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
Q lao da, in your BB trading system, how do you defferentiate a good entry point from washing off? I made a bad entry for QID in today's short squeeze. When the candle 刺穿BB's lower band, I entered the position. However, this was a falling knife. I even didn't have a chance to enter stop, the price dropped below my stop point. Did you see the similar case before? How did you handle that? Thanks.
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