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Forex/Futures ST for Week 5/13-5/17

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 01:05 AM | 显示全部楼层


JPY is also having a concurrent move.
USDJPY(Hourly)20130515230209.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 01:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
The reversal in Japan is due to this weekly money flow release:

Basically more Japanese are selling JPY, so JPY will be weaker and more foreigners are buy equities so NIKKEI should be higher.

Screen Shot 2013-05-15 at 11.03.46 PM.png
Screen Shot 2013-05-15 at 11.03.24 PM.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
It's a busy day at work, but let's have today's review, particularly it is the first down day for a while.

Psychologically, it's not pleasant for bulls, but we trend followers have to sit tight and accept normal fluctuations as long as the overall up trend is intact, which cannot be changed with simply one down day. Particularly it does not look like bears are starting their attack with a big trending bear bar.
US Small Cap 2000(Daily)20130516151235.png
DAX(Daily)20130516151200.png
NQ 100(Daily)20130516151148.png
SPX 500(Daily)20130516151127.png
Japan 225 Futures(Daily)20130516151324.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
As for bonds, only Bund is breaking out, but maybe due to its early closing ... US 10yr tested but failed the S/R level. Let's see how tomorrow turns out.
US 30 YR T-Bond(Daily)20130516152032.png
Japan Govt. Bond(Daily)20130516152001.png
Euro Bund(Daily)20130516151932.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Daily)20130516151902.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
Currency majors are consistent with yesterday's actions. Again AUD's slide is nice. Hope you are catching it.

EURO're reaction is interesting and is consistent with the last hour's bond/equity moves, which were due to the Fed comments of a dovish non-voting member.
AUDUSD(Daily)20130516152335.png
GBPUSD(Daily)20130516152258.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130516152237.png
EURUSD(Daily)20130516152226.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Metals ...

Copper is paused at ma20, but gold appears to go on the route to retest the low.
Copper(Daily)20130516152638.png
Gold(Daily)20130516152622.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Energies ...

Indeed the story is about the ma20 ...
Natural Gas(Daily)20130516152745.png
Crude Oil(Daily)20130516152737.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 05:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
I'll skip the soft commodities today due to a visiting friend.
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发表于 2013-5-16 07:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks very much! Mr. Green!

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发表于 2013-5-16 07:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
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发表于 2013-5-16 07:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks laoda so much
haoren


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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 08:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
pdz 发表于 2013-5-16 08:23 PM
Thanks so much! Can you please add USD/CAD in the future?

CAD is doing fine ... watching the two resistant lines above ...
On the weekly chart, it found support at ma20, which is good for intermediate term.
USDCAD(Daily)20130516175655.png
USDCAD(Weekly)20130516175531.png

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发表于 2013-5-16 08:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
brought aapl today for swing.

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发表于 2013-5-16 10:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 hahaa 于 2013-5-16 10:44 PM 编辑

ES
2013-05-16-es4h.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-16 11:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-5-16 11:41 PM
ES

Good time to change channel ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-17 12:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
Here is the update of the portfolio:

Screen Shot 2013-05-16 at 9.56.18 PM.png
Screen Shot 2013-05-16 at 9.55.04 PM.png
Screen Shot 2013-05-16 at 9.54.30 PM.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-17 09:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
Another new high in the account! My dip buying two nights ago finally paid off!
Japan 225 Futures(5 Hours)20130517071052.png
USDJPY(5 Hours)20130517070713.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-17 09:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-5-17 10:45 AM 编辑
greenback 发表于 2013-5-17 10:13 AM
Another new high in the account! My dip buying two nights ago finally paid off!


"Patience is gold", no, should be "patience is cash", in trend following ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-17 09:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
Move NKD back to ES when this mini pullback finishes ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-5-17 09:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-5-17 10:43 AM 编辑

The feeling of moving profit out of the futures trading account is great even if the positions are not liquidated due to the trend following method. See my thread on money management.
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