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楼主: greenback

Forex/Futures ST for Week 09/09 - 09/14

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发表于 2012-9-12 04:05 PM | 显示全部楼层


本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-9-12 05:48 PM 编辑
greenback 发表于 2012-9-12 02:39 PM
It turned out the charts were not updated ... Actually both ZB and ZN hit the 100% targets ... Loo ...


如果真有QE3, ZB应该怎样,涨还是跌?我是一点儿都不明白,绿老大给个标准答案吧。

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-12 05:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-9-12 06:33 PM 编辑
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-12 05:05 PM
如果真有QE3, ZB应该怎样,涨还是跌?我是一点儿都不明白,绿老大给个标准答案吧。


It depends what FED would buy. The rumor has been that FED would buy mortgage-backed securities this time. That's why the bond funds with these types of assets are as bullish as junk bonds. Of course, economy would also get a boost when FED does it. In the end, there is no more justification in hiding in treasuries. So the declines in both ZB and ZN.

But in the end if FED decides to buy treasuries again, ZB and ZN would come back again.
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发表于 2012-9-12 06:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-12 06:08 PM
It depends what FED would buy. The rumor has been that FED would buy mortgage-backed securities  ...


绿老大的工作应该与金融相关吧?多谢绿老大解答,虽然俺还是不太明白。

明天注定要颠簸,我就不看戏了,爱咋咋地。

绿老大发财。
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发表于 2012-9-12 06:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-12 02:08 PM
It depends what FED would buy. The rumor has been that FED would buy mortgage-backed securities  ...

解惑!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-12 07:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-12 07:14 PM
绿老大的工作应该与金融相关吧?多谢绿老大解答,虽然俺还是不太明白。

明天注定要颠簸,我就不看戏 ...

Like you, I'll just watch the show without any positions.

Enjoy the show!


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发表于 2012-9-12 09:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-12 08:21 PM
Like you, I'll just watch the show without any positions.

Enjoy the show!

手里还有4单(papertrading):ES, NKD, QM, QG。
都设好了止损。




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发表于 2012-9-12 11:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-9-13 12:37 AM 编辑
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-11 01:06 PM
QG:
+2.96, st 2.78, pr 3.12.


仔细的研究了一下日线图,觉得3.13附近的压力较弱,所以上提止赢至3.50,止损在2.61. 有点贪了。
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发表于 2012-9-13 09:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-13 12:35 AM
仔细的研究了一下日线图,觉得3.13附近的压力较弱,所以上提止赢至3.50,止损在2.61. 有点贪了。


没有预期的那么强,这单平出了。NG现在还处于底部反转区,还是不要死牛的好。

我这主意变得也太快了。

唉,新手都这样,然后回头肯定会后悔。

关机,工作。
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发表于 2012-9-13 12:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
绿老大的黄金彪了!!!!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-13 12:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
azure4068 发表于 2012-9-13 01:11 PM
绿老大的黄金彪了!!!!

No, I have been watching without any position. Too dangerous to trade futures on a Fed day.

Though our intermediate term account is 3/8 long.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-13 02:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
Ho Ho Ho!

Congratulations for the brave hearts who has been holding futures overnight!
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-13 03:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
An immediate implication of the FED decision for the home owners is that you can take your time to find the best deal.
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发表于 2012-9-13 03:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-13 03:58 PM
Ho Ho Ho!

Congratulations for the brave hearts who has been holding futures overnight!

Congratulations to all bulls for today's victory. High returns are rewarded to people who held the high risks. A job well done.
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发表于 2012-9-13 03:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-9-13 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-13 06:44 AM
没有预期的那么强,这单平出了。NG现在还处于底部反转区,还是不要死牛的好。

我这主意变得也太快了 ...

NG今天表现太差,感觉其它commodities猛的时候,NG好像比较软。。。
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发表于 2012-9-13 08:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-13 11:58 AM
Ho Ho Ho!

Congratulations for the brave hearts who has been holding futures overnight!

感觉commodites的行情来的时候就直线向上或向下,一定要弄到你怕。。。恭喜

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发表于 2012-9-13 09:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
胡同儿串子 发表于 2012-9-13 09:57 PM
NG今天表现太差,感觉其它commodities猛的时候,NG好像比较软。。。

是啊,等等看。希望他再去探底,然后浪起来就放心了。这里上不去,害怕会不会有大资金还在烧,需要先砸下去,然后再买起来?
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发表于 2012-9-14 09:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-12 10:51 PM
手里还有4单(papertrading):ES, NKD, QM, QG。
都设好了止损。

QG确实弱下来了, 2.88附近应该会弹起来,如果不能超过前高,QG会不会再次探底? 我希望他下来,以后long起来才放心。
NKD9200止赢,后面还会涨,但不属于我的了。(纯粹的小农意识)
QM设置止损在97, 止赢102.
ES在1464.5出手了。从1395上来, 中间倒手两次。现在沿着上升轨道上轨爬,有点不太踏实,准备等回调。

昨夜被3只蚊子闹腾一宿,现在有些头痛,今天不看盘了。各位发财。

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-14 12:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
It looks that finally money is coming out of bond.

ZB has broken a key S/R level. The target is the March low ...

zb.png

ZN still hanging on there ...

zn.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-14 12:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-9-14 01:19 PM 编辑

I've put an order to buy another 1/8 fund in my intermediate account ... now 1/4 long of the total intermediate account and effectively 90% value in the unleveraged intermediate account.

I have been holding 35% conservative bond fund 35% aggressive income bond fund in my leveraged intermediate account after the ECB claim of "whatever it takes to save EURO". I've just put an order to convert all conservative fund holding to the aggressive fund holding, which is mostly mortgage-backed securities. Both funds are managed by PIMCO.

I may be able to reach 30% in my leveraged intermediate account by the end of year given the market condition. I'm dreaming ...

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