2012-05-W4

时时是好时

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一两周内吧。谢老大！

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-5-25 14:58
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一两周内吧。谢老大！

以下其中之一的狀況要賣掉這支NUGT:
1. 能到 $16 以上就賣了
2. 下週五之前必須賣掉
3. 跌破 $8.95 就賣了

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-5-25 14:56
same question, but i don't have it, feels like a little more up

偶好奇 ... 是哪個股神的推薦?  怎麼同學都做那支破爛股?

时时是好时

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顶，多谢！ 说得太清楚了。

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-5-25 16:11
偶好奇 ... 是哪個股神的推薦?  怎麼同學都做那支破爛股?

it is 3x bull ETF for GDX, gold miner, volatility very high,

snowrider

No medium or long term trade today. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - Big troop dolloar amount allocation: TLT 50% cash 50% (no change)
Medium Term - Small troop stock holding: EDZ, FAZ, TZA (no change)

The up thrust in futures market overnight penetrated Tuesday's high, and hence my short term short position on index futures got kicked out with big win.  The high in regular hours did not even touch Tuesday high.  I did not enter a new short position on futures because of the coming long weekend.  I'll continue shorting this market next week.

The market has moved in a way that is identical to our prediction since 2 weeks ago (see the purple line wave count).  With that said, there is no reason for us to change our preferred scenario at this moment.  The downward wave has newly started today.  Next week could be a killing bloody week for a wave-5.  (This scenario will be voided if a long solid red surge occurs.) The bear run is far from over!  DO NOT buy any dip!

(For more of my analyses and articles, please visit my blog.  Thanks.)

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-5-25 15:12
it is 3x bull ETF for GDX, gold miner, volatility very high,

謝謝!  是破爛股沒錯  因為它離可持有的階段還極遠  因為它才從漫無止盡的下跌中稍稍反彈而已  更不要說有打什麼底了  偶們做行情所要追求的是:  一買就漲 一空就跌
(偶會將這討論update到偶的博客上)

Diffusion

snowrider

时时是好时

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-5-25 16:39
No medium or long term trade today. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long ...

why the wave 4 ended last week? thank you

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-5-27 13:43
why the wave 4 ended last week? thank you

lilitulip - Good question!  Let me quote from my last Friday's comment:

"... The market has moved in a way that is identical to our prediction since 2 weeks ago (see the purple line wave count).  With that said, there is no reason for us to change our preferred scenario at this moment. ... "

So I'll continue follow the purple line until the market tells me otherwise.

silicon_beaver

snowrider 发表于 2012-5-25 12:11
偶好奇 ... 是哪個股神的推薦?  怎麼同學都做那支破爛股?

silicon_beaver

The NUGT is good for short.   
In down-trend.

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-5-27 16:18
lilitulip - Good question!  Let me quote from my last Friday's comment:

"... The market has mov ...

yes, i read the chart, so is that because it reached the high point but couldn't break up, that's why the wave ended? i just not sure how long it take to say end. thank you

snowrider

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yes, i read the chart, so is that because it reached the high point but couldn't break up, that's why the wave ended? i just not sure how long it take to say end. thank you

lilitulip - Good question!  We can assume that a wave ends when it reaches our target price and target time AND with a reversal price action.  That was what happened last Friday ... the wave showed an ABC up (i.e., wave-4.a, 4.b, 4.c) starting from last Monday and ended on last Friday with a reversal bar.  That was why I guessed that the wave-4 has ended.  If the reversal bar (last Friday) is taken, then we need to accept some alternative count and review our wave assumption.

(I'll update this conversation to my blog, for this is really a good question and I want to broadcast to my audience)

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-5-27 23:52
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thank you for your patient guidance