老熊 had shows us the great insight and analysis, but, I think he might miscaculate one factor, that is whether this TG government will be up to the task for the Chinese race or it has already been rotten from inside.
9/18 is approaching.
Deep in their hearts, I think GCD doesn't want to see thing getting worse. They fear anything out of control might weaken their ability to control the people and country. They don't care at all about that island.
My prediction: this thing will be out of paper within 1 month.