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linksys2006

very nice analysis and discussion.

linksys2006

very nice analysis and discussion.

wolfdoctor

For two days being nailed at 8.08, it is very rare for BCRX. Probably will resume uptrend again. Anyone got a chance to buy the "dip" this morning lol?

I think MM's purpose of recent actions is to prevent any chance to let small guys on board. Unless SP500 falls down significantly, we probably have no chance to see a >5% dip.

superxy

8.31阻力线呀，看看能不能过

wolfdoctor

OE要小心，也许要杀杀call，虽然不是很多。

superxy

要是能带量过了8.31，然后突破回测的时候买进，有可能吗？呵呵

wolfdoctor

不太可能吧，那是在做多做空势力都很大的情况下才出现。
我觉得这次像是有内部可靠消息的空头主力们有秩序short cover产生的上涨，做多的机构还没开始产生兴趣。除非是突然有少数机构买进产生突破，然后空头再把打下来继续cover。
这么多的short interest，cover起来任务很艰巨，如果秩序乱了，自相践踏就很可怕了。所以他们一直谨慎控盘避免大的波动引来鲨鱼，也不会给散户上船的好机会。

wolfdoctor

如果今天收7.5附近，是一个上船的好机会。

wolfdoctor

后面如果大盘深度回调，空头也许有机会赶在BCRX放出好消息之前股价打压到7左右cover。
但向上趋势不变。

wolfdoctor

今天虽然量很小，但是看起来还不错，下面盘整区的支撑也起了作用。
我觉得如果大盘不回调，图上面会继续向上的。
前两天估计进来一些新的小熊，看明天follow up吧。

superxy

Add in some position. Will see

wolfdoctor

今天收在支撑线上，如果明天能守住还是很bullish的。守住支撑线的情况已经好几个月没发生过了，不过我怀疑这次MM是不是想让它发生。
BCRX的ER是下周三28号，市场预计是-0.16。BCRX上次ER是大盘狂泻，很好的结果被空头趁机拉高sell off。我预感空头这次还想玩玩。
从现在到六月，随时会有gout的二期数据出来，这个应该是机构感兴趣的炒作话题，我怀疑数据会出来得比较晚，但数据好的话BCRX六月就可以见两位数，数据不好也不会有灾难性影响，大不了继续盘整。

wolfdoctor

我觉得明天BCRX的ER能beat，但是不会多，也有可能还是负数。
outlook估计还是八股文，谈一些大家都知道的情况。
除非有surprise，但pre-ER看起来不象。
估计在7.0这一带要盘整一个月，六月份gout数据出来后才能有大动作了。

大家有什么看法？TA的FA的都行。如果总是没别人出来抛块玉或者砸片板砖啥的，这个主题以后就close算了。

bendzhao

正好落在趋势支撑上，不过我今天stopped out了。ER难说，早点起来看了。。。

cornuox

貌似ER还不错。大家觉得呢？

cornuox

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superxy

10% up，没敢买昨天，错过了ER

cornuox

It is getting mad indeed.
Let's see if it can pass 8.50 in the next several days. If yes, I bet it can go up even further.

wolfdoctor

May option still lots of 7C/7P. It's good to see BCRX bouncing up today. But don't be too optimistic for short term big action. There is so high short interests. When they cover, I guess they must find or create a good and longer dip to cover. But as long as the long term trend is a solid up, don't be the wake hands to be shaken out or be too cautious/greedy to miss the no-turning-back train!

bendzhao

I see a second leg up in the coming days. My wishful thinking is there may not be another dip unless indices have a major correction - instead the short covering could fuel the further rally.