06/23/2016 我猜明天。。。

Cobra

lite1067 发表于 2016-6-23 11:26 PM
这帮做Poll的很孙子啊。找个几千人做个poll，预测和实际相比，整个不着边际啊。

主要还是受教育程度低的人声音往往听不到，poll也poll不到，所以民调差距很大啊。

lite1067

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-23 11:28 PM
主要还是受教育程度低的人声音往往听不到，poll也poll不到，所以民调差距很大啊。

对啊。typical sampling problem.....

trend

spx 2008 now, could bottom out at 2000 one short?

lite1067

Btw,  your 7.5% nuclear bomb might be triggered tomorrow!!!

so crazy.

Cobra

trend 发表于 2016-6-23 11:30 PM
spx 2008 now, could bottom out at 2000 one short?

7%  circuit breakers可能要触发了。

bokchoy888

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-23 11:07 PM
这也说明床破会当选，民调无法反映教育程度低的大众的情况。往往是中产的声音大，但问题是中产其实是少数 ...

那就是祸不单行 for the bulls!  Go Trump!

Cobra

$ES_F not moving, circuit breakers triggered?
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=225361#p225361

trend

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-23 11:33 PM
$ES_F not moving, circuit breakers triggered?
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=2 ...

what after usually?

Cobra

1 min chart shows clearly circuit breakers in effect. let's remember this historical moment! $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=225371#p225371

Cobra

trend 发表于 2016-6-23 11:34 PM
what after usually?

停盘一段时间然后继续交易。如果继续跌，那么触发下一级breaker，再停盘一段时间，然后继续交易，如果触发第三集，可能就一直停了。


CME Group U.S. equity index price limits (and corresponding CME and CBOT rules) are designed to coordinate with circuit breakers provisions as applied by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
7%, 13%, and 20% price limits are applied to the futures fixing price and are effective from 8:30 a.m. CT – 3:00 p.m. CT. Mondays through Fridays.
5% up-and-down limits are effective 5:00 p.m. - 8:30 a.m. CT. Sundays through Fridays; and 3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. CT, Mondays through Fridays. Between 3:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. the 5% price limit will not be allowed to breech the 20% daily limit.

trend

whole market close? WOW

mojideheng

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-23 11:42 PM
停盘一段时间然后继续交易。如果继续跌，那么触发下一级breaker，再停盘一段时间，然后继续交易，如果触发 ...

熔断后明早开盘指数怎么算起呢？ 谢谢！

ninemao

决定脱了吗？结果出来了吗？

Cobra

A souvenir for you tonight. Yes, we were there together. It could be a historical turning point $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=225380#p225380

Cobra

mojideheng 发表于 2016-6-23 11:47 PM
熔断后明早开盘指数怎么算起呢？ 谢谢！

熔断后一段时间会恢复交易的。一共有三级熔断，现在触发第一级，还有两级。明天开盘，是哪就是哪，不会跳的。

Cobra

ninemao 发表于 2016-6-23 11:57 PM
决定脱了吗？结果出来了吗？

差不多脱了。

trend

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-23 11:59 PM
熔断后一段时间会恢复交易的。一共有三级熔断，现在触发第一级，还有两级。明天开盘，是哪就是哪，不会跳 ...

so close just for tonight, tomorrow start from 2007, if no buyers then should move down to open?

Cobra

It's final: UK votes to LEAVE the EU!
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=225383#p225383

Cobra

trend 发表于 2016-6-24 12:02 AM
so close just for tonight, tomorrow start from 2007, if no buyers then should move down to open?

yes, just for tonight (maybe a few minutes, not whole night, not sure). tomorrow open may have gap though.

Cobra

trend 发表于 2016-6-24 12:02 AM
so close just for tonight, tomorrow start from 2007, if no buyers then should move down to open?

see, trading resumed.