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11/11 大盘分析 - a low vol game day

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发表于 2008-11-11 12:50 PM | 显示全部楼层


Professor QQQ, Looking forward to reading your blog.

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 12:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
mkt keeps 阴跌 so far, with 3-5 SPX bounce, This type of 阴跌 the mkt MM to use leaves no exit/entry point to escape, very dangerous for longs. this is classic pattern they used on 11/5, 11/6 too. [ 本帖最后由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 12:55 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-11-11 12:53 PM | 显示全部楼层

回复 60# QQQ 的帖子

Q老大有好帖子,记着也在胡同post一份。从您的帖子里学了很多,还在继续学习中。
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发表于 2008-11-11 01:03 PM | 显示全部楼层

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Thank you, Lao Da!
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发表于 2008-11-11 01:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
:(63):
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发表于 2008-11-11 01:15 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 12:53 发表 mkt keeps 阴跌 so far, with 3-5 SPX bounce, This type of 阴跌 the mkt MM to use leaves no exit/entry point to escape, very dangerous for longs. this is classic pattern they used on 11/5, 11/6 too.

 

thanks laoda.

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发表于 2008-11-11 01:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
what happened?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
short sqeeze as oil spike,
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
looks like quickly sold off above 900
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
这次好像是start with GS ,not oil

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-11 14:07 发表 short sqeeze as oil spike,
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

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I believe the spike was caused by this news http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081111/meltdown_mortgages.html
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
2:05 pm : Stocks recover some ground after CNBC reported that BlackRock's (BLK 113.07, -2.48) Vice Chairman said the $30 billion Bear Stearns mortgage portfolio is generating better cash flows than the market price implies. BlackRock is managing the $30 billion in assets that the Federal Reserve assumed following the collapse of Bear Stearns.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
if 900 hold, it can go 912,
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
I guess ES is on the way to 915-920
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
maybe even fill the gap?
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
为什么油一直被打压 sucks
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
if oil is not strong, this bounce will not go too far. let's see
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发表于 2008-11-11 02:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
Q, what happened??? Don' tell me spx will reach 930-940?
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-11 02:45 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 天真的冷酷 于 2008-11-11 14:34 发表 Q, what happened??? Don' tell me spx will reach 930-940?

 

oil is too weak to support big rally. to get 930-940 area, OIL needs go above 62. now it is still down 5% for the day. mkt knows financial lead bounce won't last long. unless oil/commodities/tech also start to run up.

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发表于 2008-11-11 02:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
Q Laoda, can you please tell what is the reasons that there should be a strong co-relation between oil/commodities and SPX recently? I saw you mentioned a couple of times, but don't know why. thanks a lot.
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