Forex/Futures ST for Week 11/5-11/9

greenback

Okay, GOLD is breaking out ... what does this supposed to mean??? More cheap money on the way ...

greenback

All previous targets in bonds are met ... ZB is supposed to revisit the previous all-time high ...
Consolidation here would be nice before a long entry.

greenback

I just reduced 1/8 of my bond holding in the intermediate account ... it's a bit crazy ...

MFTHT

tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 03:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here,  and you may have to stand another 15-20 points under water -- this is my wild guess.

Good that you have 5 points as stop loss. So you don't have endure the pain if it did dive another 20 points. GL.

MFTHT

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 05:13 PM
Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here,  and you may  ...

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 03:43 PM

Welcome

MFTHT

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 05:13 PM
Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here,  and you may  ...

其实买在这里还有两个原因：下图是第一个比较重要的支持，另外最重要的是，这里有SPX日线图SMA200支撑。我认为直接击穿SMA200的可能性很小，附近没有其他像样的支撑了。就算直接击穿SMA200, 过几天也会重新测试SMA200, 到时这单还是有逃跑的机会（我正在考虑是不是应该去掉1369.25的止损）。看4小时图这里是第2次push down, 而且今天收于低点， 明早应该会有更低点，我想着如果这单今夜被止损，明早更低点我会再次进入，这附近开始应该有一个像样的反弹。
明天下午收盘前如果没有低于1372.5的push down, 反弹将至。
这单确实心急，抢跑了，因为不想错过这个反弹。

多谢兄弟提醒。

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:03 PM
其实买在这里还有两个原因：下图是第一个比较重要的支持，另外最重要的是，这里有SPX日线图SMA200支撑。我 ...

Agree with you that spx 136x could be a tradable bounce up buy point. I'm worried about black Friday to knock down SPX another 30 points to trigger panic in the market.

MFTHT

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 06:08 PM
Agree with you that spx 136x could be a tradable bounce up buy point. I'm worried about black Frid ...

抢跑和沉不住气是我的老毛病。兄台看出我有点生气了，呵呵。
我是屡教不改：昨晚思前想后空在1394，今天一直盯着SMA200, 下午两点以为SMA200已经测试过了，忙不迭的就卡窝，后面再跌就生自己气了，呵呵。
昨天刚犯的毛病(52楼)，今天又来一遍。

我是新手，何时能气定神闲。

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:27 PM
抢跑和沉不住气是我的老毛病。兄台看出我有点生气了，呵呵。
我是屡教不改：昨晚思前想后空在1394，今 ...

Wow, you have already pocketed 24 ES points. Congrat!

MFTHT

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 06:32 PM
Wow, you have already pocketed 24 ES points. Congrat!

老兄，昨夜我空在1394， 今天下午2点我毛手毛脚卡窝在1382了。毛手毛脚

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:43 PM
老兄，昨夜我空在1394， 今天下午2点我毛手毛脚卡窝在1382了。毛手毛脚

Don't blame yourself. Experience will be built up

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 05:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

Hope your long entry goes as well as your previous short entry!

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-11-8 06:56 PM
Hope your long entry goes as well as your previous short entry!

对此我也没有信心，第一次这样逆势抢反弹，晚上再想想要不要准备往下倒手。
但我觉得在这个位置上暴跌的可能性小于报复性反弹，因为毕竟现在的大势仍然是牛市，而且这里也是第一次测试SMA200. 不过今天收秃头阴棒，明早应该会有更低点。ZB向154迈进了，对ES肯定不是好消息。越想越觉得应该把这单扔掉。。。
设好了止损，这次听天由命吧。

MFTHT

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 05:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

1379.75出手了。还是认为今天这个秃头阴棒明早应该还会有低点，等着明早或下午再入场。
设个1373的地雷，止损1369。安心睡觉。

MFTHT

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 11:27 PM
1379.75出手了。还是认为今天这个秃头阴棒明早应该还会有低点，等着明早或下午再入场。
设个1373的地雷 ...

地雷响了，很快被止损了。我还是不抢反弹为好，一边待着去了。

austinjoe

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-9 08:21 AM
地雷响了，很快被止损了。我还是不抢反弹为好，一边待着去了。

Pat pat. Take it easy.

silicon_beaver

BOT                ES        DEC12 Futures         1375.00        USD        GLOBEX        NOV 8 12:59:25
SLD                ES        DEC12 Futures         1380.00        USD        GLOBEX        NOV 8 21:55:17

It's very difficul to play recent market.
Yesterday broke down 200SMA 1st time. Hence setup a long position but stopped out last night (see above)
A better entry was early this morning. But I am at Western Coast. Too late, and just read notice of my stop order done.

greenback

It seems finally a short term bottom is very close, i.e. within a few days ...

Reasons:

1) The early morning slide is a panic sell and my signal hit ovesold level.
2) 50% fibo from the summer low to the fall high has reached.
3) 200MA has reached.
4) TF positive divergence between price and momentum.