Forex/Futures ST for Week 11/5-11/9

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-8 01:43 PM

Okay, GOLD is breaking out ... what does this supposed to mean??? More cheap money on the way ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-8 01:45 PM

All previous targets in bonds are met ... ZB is supposed to revisit the previous all-time high ...
Consolidation here would be nice before a long entry.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-8 03:59 PM

I just reduced 1/8 of my bond holding in the intermediate account ... it's a bit crazy ...

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 04:09 PM

tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-8 04:13 PM

本帖最后由 austinjoe 于 2012-11-8 03:15 PM 编辑

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 03:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here, and you may have to stand another 15-20 points under water -- this is my wild guess.

Good that you have 5 points as stop loss. So you don't have endure the pain if it did dive another 20 points. GL.

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 04:43 PM

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 05:13 PM
Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here, and you may ...

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-8 04:47 PM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 03:43 PM

Welcome

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:03 PM

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 05:13 PM
Don't be angry with the market as it's always right. I don't see a buy point here, and you may ...

其实买在这里还有两个原因：下图是第一个比较重要的支持，另外最重要的是，这里有SPX日线图SMA200支撑。我认为直接击穿SMA200的可能性很小，附近没有其他像样的支撑了。就算直接击穿SMA200, 过几天也会重新测试SMA200, 到时这单还是有逃跑的机会（我正在考虑是不是应该去掉1369.25的止损）。看4小时图这里是第2次push down, 而且今天收于低点，明早应该会有更低点，我想着如果这单今夜被止损，明早更低点我会再次进入，这附近开始应该有一个像样的反弹。
明天下午收盘前如果没有低于1372.5的push down, 反弹将至。
这单确实心急，抢跑了，因为不想错过这个反弹。

多谢兄弟提醒。

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:08 PM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:03 PM
其实买在这里还有两个原因：下图是第一个比较重要的支持，另外最重要的是，这里有SPX日线图SMA200支撑。我 ...

Agree with you that spx 136x could be a tradable bounce up buy point. I'm worried about black Friday to knock down SPX another 30 points to trigger panic in the market.

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:27 PM

本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-11-8 06:29 PM 编辑

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 06:08 PM
Agree with you that spx 136x could be a tradable bounce up buy point. I'm worried about black Frid ...

抢跑和沉不住气是我的老毛病。兄台看出我有点生气了，呵呵。
我是屡教不改：昨晚思前想后空在1394，今天一直盯着SMA200, 下午两点以为SMA200已经测试过了，忙不迭的就卡窝，后面再跌就生自己气了，呵呵。
昨天刚犯的毛病(52楼)，今天又来一遍。

我是新手，何时能气定神闲。

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:32 PM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:27 PM
抢跑和沉不住气是我的老毛病。兄台看出我有点生气了，呵呵。
我是屡教不改：昨晚思前想后空在1394，今 ...

Wow, you have already pocketed 24 ES points. Congrat!

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:43 PM

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-8 06:32 PM
Wow, you have already pocketed 24 ES points. Congrat!

老兄，昨夜我空在1394，今天下午2点我毛手毛脚卡窝在1382了。毛手毛脚

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:52 PM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 04:43 PM
老兄，昨夜我空在1394，今天下午2点我毛手毛脚卡窝在1382了。毛手毛脚

Don't blame yourself. Experience will be built up

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-8 05:56 PM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 05:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

Hope your long entry goes as well as your previous short entry!

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 06:20 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-11-8 06:56 PM
Hope your long entry goes as well as your previous short entry!

对此我也没有信心，第一次这样逆势抢反弹，晚上再想想要不要准备往下倒手。
但我觉得在这个位置上暴跌的可能性小于报复性反弹，因为毕竟现在的大势仍然是牛市，而且这里也是第一次测试SMA200. 不过今天收秃头阴棒，明早应该会有更低点。ZB向154迈进了，对ES肯定不是好消息。越想越觉得应该把这单扔掉。。。
设好了止损，这次听天由命吧。

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-8 10:27 PM

本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-11-8 11:31 PM 编辑

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 05:09 PM
tnnd. 熊熊欺人太甚。俺买。
+1374.25， st 1369.25.

1379.75出手了。还是认为今天这个秃头阴棒明早应该还会有低点，等着明早或下午再入场。
设个1373的地雷，止损1369。安心睡觉。

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-9 09:21 AM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-8 11:27 PM
1379.75出手了。还是认为今天这个秃头阴棒明早应该还会有低点，等着明早或下午再入场。
设个1373的地雷 ...

地雷响了，很快被止损了。我还是不抢反弹为好，一边待着去了。

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-9 10:20 AM

MFTHT 发表于 2012-11-9 08:21 AM
地雷响了，很快被止损了。我还是不抢反弹为好，一边待着去了。

Pat pat. Take it easy.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-11-9 11:17 AM

BOT ES DEC12 Futures 1375.00 USD GLOBEX NOV 8 12:59:25
SLD ES DEC12 Futures 1380.00 USD GLOBEX NOV 8 21:55:17

It's very difficul to play recent market.
Yesterday broke down 200SMA 1st time. Hence setup a long position but stopped out last night (see above)
A better entry was early this morning. But I am at Western Coast. Too late, and just read notice of my stop order done.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-9 11:51 AM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-11-9 01:02 PM 编辑

It seems finally a short term bottom is very close, i.e. within a few days ...

Reasons:

1) The early morning slide is a panic sell and my signal hit ovesold level.
2) 50% fibo from the summer low to the fall high has reached.
3) 200MA has reached.
4) TF positive divergence between price and momentum.

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Forex/Futures ST for Week 11/5-11/9

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