SPX Notes 2009

秋之皓月

600# 我是谁




Who are you? You are who?




Should be before Year 2510...

KAI2002

妙就妙在没说时间， 所以就算跌到500，秋月也没错。 股帝快来学习学习。

Persistance

Thanks, Bay Lao Da and QJ!!!

jeeplover

顶贝兄.

A few minutes ago, Cobra already modified his 1.0.3 SPY chart to see a target at 80.65 w/ head-and-shoulder bottom pattern.

I still remember the Feb.26 phantom bar @ 77, which should be fulfilled w ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-3-11 19:18

ppteam

591# bayliner1979

H&S is a working pattern until the neckline is broken; last time the upside target for the potential H&S was SPY 101+, which failed.

yingying

599# 秋之皓月

秋秋，那SPX昨天的gap还补么？那个gap在您看来是后妈养的？

hyf

605# ppteam

请问：颈线是69.40么？谢谢

bayliner1979

所以说明天很重要，如果不能break neckline，那就可能真的要飚VIX了。

591# bayliner1979

H&S is a working pattern until the neckline is broken; last time the upside target for the potential H&S was SPY 101+, which failed.
ppteam 发表于 2009-3-11 21:12

bayliner1979

Cobra画的那根就是neckline。

605# ppteam

请问：颈线是69.40么？谢谢
hyf 发表于 2009-3-11 21:24

weigoodone01

小咪

584# bayliner1979

哈哈， 大盘这种剧烈上下震荡不是小松鼠能承受的，崩溃了吧！我把它送急诊室去了哈

谢谢BAYBAY

ivymay99

thanks for shaing.

ddd

SPY的74附近是真空带。明天小低开蓄能，或许能一越过去。

bayliner1979

Now I think you are right.
SPY 15-min 30-min chart clearly rising wedge.
750 is the short-term top before OE.

Bay, don't scare me with your 770. I use my second pair of glasses and only see 740-750 for this little 5 if we ever get one.
QQQ 发表于 2009-3-11 19:13

QQQ

SPX closed right at 750.74
if tomorrow we have a gap up, than that gap top might be the peak.
If tomorrow we gap down to 740, then we might see 760, and we peak either tomorrow or monday.
What do you think, Bay,

buctusa

Thank both of Bay Lao Da and QQQ Sister!

You guys are great!

SPX closed right at 750.74
if tomorrow we have a gap up, than that gap top might be the peak.
If tomorrow we gap down to 740, then we might see 760, and we peak either tomorrow or monday.
What do  ...
QQQ 发表于 2009-3-12 17:41

bayliner1979

Today is just like Nov.26.2008 (while yesterday was like nov.25.2008, the day before yesterday nov.24.2008).
But tomorrow is unlikely like nov.27.
Instead, the relation between today and tomorrow could be like 2/6/2009 and 2/9/2009.

According to Maserati's MAD postday law, tomorrow Doji on MA(20)/BB midline, fluctuates in 74x and 75x.
Short-term: 75x => 69x => 725 @ OE.

原来预计跌到650，再在OE时涨回725。
按现在放焰火放到一半还有7 trading days的走法，这样走时间不够了。
所以改成先=> 77x (EMA(34) & Feb.26 Phantom bar)，再 => 69x => 725 @ OE。今天 = Nov.25.2008.



PS: 按老吴头的图，http://www.hutong9.com/viewthrea ... &extra=page%3D1
还是我原来想的那个走法。如果是这个走法，DOW 7000是本周的顶，明天将大跌。

所以明天很关键，明天大涨则是改变后的走法:=>77x => 69x => 725 @ OE。
明天大跌则有两个可能，(1) => 6[234]x => 725@OE,  (2) OE收BB lower bound。
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-3-11 18:49

QQQ

617# bayliner1979

bayliner1979

Rising wedge may need 3 point touch, perhaps SPY 75.9 tomorrow noon, then that is the short-term top.

Phantom bars may start to actuate after several trading hours delay.

BTW, I already loaded 1/3 short positions this afternoon.


618# QQQ

Niubao

Thanks, Agent Smith.