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楼主: George25

[技术分析] Watching RIMM

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-18 07:39 PM | 显示全部楼层


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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-18 07:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
RIM Could Consider a Merger with This Rival: Strategist
Published: Friday, 17 Sep 2010 | 12:03 PM ET Text Size By: JeeYeon Park
CNBC News Associate
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BlackBerry maker Research In Motion reported a stronger than expected quarterly profit and also provided a strong guidance for the current quarter. David Garrity, principal at GVA Research, shared his analysis on the firm.



“This is the calm before the storm, because you’ve got a situation for RIM [RIMM  46.72    0.23  (+0.49%)   ] where they are caught competitively in the middle,” Garrity told CNBC.

On the high-end, Apple’s [AAPL  275.37    -1.20  (-0.43%)   ] iPhone is starting to break into the corporate area, a franchise that RIM had historically dominated. Meanwhile, Google’s [GOOG  490.15    9.09  (+1.89%)   ] Android platform is powering a broader range of competitors and driving down pricing on the consumer front, he noted.

“What [RIM’s] got in place does have a franchise which has some sustainability to it, but investors have to be cautious: looking at the technology market, product cycles can move very quickly,” warned Garrity.

Going forward, Garrity said he wouldn’t be surprised to see RIM considering mergers. He picked Finnish handset maker Nokia [NOK  9.96    -0.15  (-1.48%)   ] as a likely candidate.

“This may not be a bad time for the two parties to consider if not a merger, then some type of alliance,” he said.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-20 07:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
Research in Motion, International Business Machines: Money Flow Leaders (RIMM, IBM)
By MARKET DATA STAFF

Research in Motion Ltd. topped the list in late trading for Buying on Weakness , which tracks stocks that fell in price but had the largest inflow of money. See the full list .

International Business Machines Corp. topped the list for Selling on Strength , which tracks stocks that rose in price but had the largest outflow of money. See the full list .

Go to Markets Data Center (WSJMarkets.com) for complete coverage
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-20 07:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Money Flows: Buying on Weakness | Selling on Strength | View Market & Sector Page
Find Historical Data  | WHAT'S THIS? Monday, September 20, 2010 - 5:33 pm ET
VIEW AS SPREADSHEET

Among stocks that are down today, these have the largest inflow of money.  Figures are updated every 15 minutes between 9:50 a.m. and 5:45 p.m., eastern time.  Money flows are calculated as the dollar value of composite uptick trades minus the dollar value of downtick trades.  The up/down ratio reflects the value of uptick trades relative to the value of downtick trades.  Money flow, uptick and downtick volume are in millions of US dollars.  Percent change is calculated from the prior day 4 p.m., eastern time, closing price.

DAILY   TOTAL MONEY FLOW BLOCK TRADES
Company Price Chg % Chg 1-wk
% chg  Money Flow Tick
Up Tick
Down Up/Down Ratio Money Flow Tick
Up Tick
Down Up/Down Ratio
RschInMotn (RIMM)  $45.14 -1.58 -3.38 -3.38 $16.98 $271.14 $254.16 1.07 $20.16 $34.45 $14.29 2.41
SanDisk (SNDK)  37.76 -0.36 -0.94 -0.94 15.97 100.40 84.43 1.19 14.72 20.70 5.97 3.47
Brcl iPathVIX ShFut (VXX)  16.73 -0.43 -2.51 -2.51 8.80 66.29 57.49 1.15 10.75 14.89 4.13 3.60
PtrohwkEnrgy (HK)  15.38 -0.21 -1.35 -1.35 8.22 22.07 13.85 1.59 8.11 9.52 1.41 6.75
AmEagleOut (AEO)  14.89 -0.04 -0.28 -0.28 7.93 21.06 13.13 1.60 9.24 9.58 0.34 28.14
DrxFinancBear 3x (FAZ)  12.42 -0.70 -5.35 -5.35 7.77 91.63 83.87 1.09 0.53 19.17 18.64 1.03
TempInland (TIN)  18.90 -1.18 -5.88 -5.88 5.40 29.49 24.09 1.22 5.12 10.21 5.09 2.01
IntercntlExch (ICE)  104.93 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 5.38 47.53 42.15 1.13 5.47 5.47 0.00 0.00
Cree (CREE)  50.60 -0.60 -1.17 -1.17 4.51 63.85 59.34 1.08 1.10 3.02 1.92 1.57
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-20 08:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-20 08:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
5 Stocks to Buy at 52-Week Lows
By Robert Holmes

BOSTON (TheStreet) -- Harry Rady, chief investment officer of Rady Asset Management, bet on shares of Goldman Sachs(GS), Google(GS) and Monsanto(MON) before they rebounded.

Now he's hoping for the same reaction from Research in Motion(RIMM), Toyota(TM) and Western Union(WU).
San Diego, Calif.-based Rady Asset Management, which manages $270 million, takes a contrarian approach to investing, offering hedge-fund-like strategies in mutual funds. One strategy he employs is buying stocks trading at or near 52-week lows. That method can be attractive to investors during sluggish stock markets, he says, because of downside protection -- the shares have already tanked -- and the potential for big returns.
"On the long side, we buy irreplaceable, dominant first-tier companies," Rady says. His investment firm's short-only fund takes wagers on a decline in shares of what he calls second-tier companies trading at 52-week highs. Rady says cumulative returns in the long-only strategy have been triple those of the benchmark S&P 500 Index over the past 15 years.
Rady says a pitfall is a so-called value trap, when a company whose shares have tumbled is mistaken for a value stock.
"When stocks get cut in half, you sometimes buy 50 cents for 50 cents," he says. "My job is to make sure we're buying $1 for 50 cents."
Another risk is being too early with stock picks. Rady says the fund's biggest sector holding is natural-gas exploration and production companies. Natural gas is trading at historic lows, and many investors expect no quick turnaround.
"Our performance has suffered, but that's one of the drawbacks of being a deep value investor," Rady says.
For investors looking for deep-value plays in a volatile market, Rady offers a list of five stocks owned in funds by Rady Asset Management.

Research in Motion
Company Profile: Research in Motion makes smartphones, notably the BlackBerry.
Closing Price: $46.72 (Sept. 17)
52-Week Low: $42.53 (Aug. 31)
Rady's Take: "Everyone was down on RIM and the stock was trading very low. As we saw last week, the stock got a pop on better-than-expected numbers. In RIM's case, franchise value exists. It still represents significant value. A lot of people don't understand that RIM is more than a handset maker. They have a very substantial network. Given how strained a number of these networks are, when RIM gets involved, they bring additional capacity and bandwidth. That's much more than other hardware makers can say."
Analyst Consensus: Twenty-five analysts rate the stock a "buy," and another 14 suggest that investors hold the shares. Six have a "sell" rating on RIM.

For details, please see following.
http://www.thestreet.com/story/1 ... t-52-week-lows.html
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 06:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 George25 于 2010-9-21 20:21 编辑 Canadian Stocks Fall as Oil, Agricultural Commodities Decline
By Matt Walcoff

Sept. 21 (Bloomberg) -- Canadian stocks fell from a four- month high as futures of crude oil and agricultural commodities slumped, weakening energy and fertilizer shares.

Crescent Point Energy Corp., which produces oil and gas in western Canada, lost 2 percent after announcing a share offering. Methanex Corp., the world’s largest methanol producer, slid 4.7 percent as Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce cut its rating on the shares. BlackBerry maker Research In Motion Ltd. gained 4.1 percent after reports that a rival’s new smartphone will be delayed.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index retreated 63.94 points, or 0.5 percent, to 12,170.57.

“We think oil’s going to do well over the next year, but inventory is building,” said Keith McLean, who oversees about C$90 million ($87.8 million) as a managing partner at GMP Investment Management in Toronto. “Demand has not returned in oil as with copper, for instance.”

After gaining 1.4 percent in the first eight months of the year while the MSCI World Index lost 7.5 percent, the S&P/TSX has underperformed 20 of 23 other developed markets’ benchmarks this month. Energy and raw-materials companies, which make up 47 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, have increased the least among S&P/TSX industries in September.

‘Disproportionate Move’

“If real-economy stocks start to work, Canada may start to underperform a little bit here because they had a disproportionate move in August,” McLean said.

Crude oil decreased 1.8 percent to settle at $73.52 a barrel in New York a day before a U.S. government report that may say refineries operated at the lowest rate in five months, based on the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas company, fell 1.6 percent to C$32.83. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s second-biggest energy company by market value, slipped 1.1 percent to C$34.19.

Crescent Point decreased 2 percent to C$36.63. The company said it will sell 10.3 million shares at C$36.60 a share, in part to raise funds for an increased plan of capital spending and for the acquisition of land in Alberta.

Corn

Agrium Inc., Canada’s second-largest fertilizer producer, lost 1.9 percent to C$75.83 as corn futures fell for a second day after closing at a 23-month high last week. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., the world’s biggest fertilizer producer, slipped 1.3 percent to C$150.55.

S&P/TSX bank stocks decreased the most this month after the Federal Open Market Committee said the pace of recovery and job growth in the U.S. have “slowed in recent months.”

Royal Bank of Canada, the country’s largest lender by assets, retreated 1.3 percent to C$53.32. Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-biggest bank, fell 1.1 percent to C$75.25. Bank of Montreal, the No. 4 lender by assets, dropped 1.5 percent to C$59.68.

RIM, Canada’s largest technology company, increased 4.1 percent to C$48.29 after electronics industry websites Electronista and Engadget said competitor Nokia Oyj is delaying shipments of its N8 smartphone. Nokia denied the reports.

Shoppers Drug Mart Corp., Canada’s largest drug-store chain, rallied 1.9 percent to C$38.43 after Chris Li, an analyst at Bank of America Corp., raised his rating on the shares to “buy” from “neutral.” Shoppers has gained eight days in a row, the longest streak in three years.

Methanex retreated 4.7 percent to C$24.23 after Jacob Bout, a CIBC analyst, reduced his rating on the Vancouver company to “sector performer” from “sector outperformer,” citing the company’s valuation. The stock had advanced 14 percent since Bout gave the company the higher rating in January.

Cotton-Sensitive

Gildan Activewear Inc., Canada’s largest clothing maker, fell 3.6 percent to C$28.85 as cotton advanced to a 15-year high. Every 1-cent increase in the price per pound of cotton reduces Gildan’s earnings by 3 cents a share, Spencer Churchill, an analyst at Paradigm Capital Inc., said in a note dated yesterday. The company might be able to offset higher input costs with product price increases, Churchill wrote.

Imax Corp., the developer of giant-screen movie technology, climbed for a fifth day, rallying 7.4 percent to C$17.54. The company said it has agreed to open 15 cinemas in China with South Korea’s CJ CGV Co. It is the Mississauga, Ontario-based company’s biggest expansion in Asia to date.

To contact the reporter on this story: Matt Walcoff in Toronto at mwalcoff1@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Nick Baker at nbaker7@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: September 21, 2010 16:41 EDT
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发表于 2010-9-21 06:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is a rumor regarding to the blackberry pad and new OS
boygeniusreport.com/2010/09/21/rim-launching-tablet-device-at-developer-convention-blackberry-handsets-using-new-os/[/url]
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 06:59 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is a rumor regarding to the blackberry pad and new OS
boygeniusreport.com/2010/09/21/rim-launc ...
badbird 发表于 2010-9-21 20:28


Thanks for your sharing ...
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发表于 2010-9-21 07:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
rim的push mail还是无敌的,是像BP机一样的真正push,其他phone用的Microsoft exchange的push mail简直就是fetch mail,耗电和delay是不可避免的。下面是网上找来的:

MS Push Mail 是 Exchange Server 2007 的内置功能,其目的是当新邮件达到服务器时,即时的把邮件推送到手机上。手机端需要是 Windows Mobile 5+,或者兼容 Exchange ActiveSync 协议的手机程序譬如 iPhone。

1. 手机端向 Exchange 服务器发出 HTTPS 请求。此请求称为 ping。请求告诉服务器:如果下一个 15 分钟内,有任何变动(新邮件,日历事件等等),则通知手机。否则,Exchange 服务器应当返回 HTTP 200 OK 代码。然后手机端就进入待机状态,并且维护、保持这个超长 HTTPS 连接。

2. 如果在 15 分钟内没有变动,则 Exchange 服务器返回 HTTP 200 OK 作为响应。手机端接收此响应,就关闭这个 HTTPS 连接,之后再次发出 ping 请求。

3. 如果在 15 分钟有新邮件,则 Exchange 服务器通过之前建立的那个 HTTPS 连接发送响应通知手机端:有新的或更改的项目;同时提供新的或更改的项目所在文件夹的名称。手机端收到此响应之后,它将为有新的或更改的项目的文件夹发出
同步请求。同步完成后,手机端将发出新的 ping 请求。


可见,这种方式的稳定性很大程度上取决于无线网络的稳定性。如果网络不稳定导致 ping 经常断开的话,手机端会尝试不断的重新 ping。这将非常耗电。

Microsoft 的这种 Push Mail 方式,其实不是真正意义上的即时推送,它的好处是可以部署到任何一架 Exchange 服务器上而不需要第三方的支持,这是它跟 BlackBerry 方式竞争的卖点之一,BlackBerry 的 BES 部署需要 GSM 运营商的协助。

由于 MS Push 不依赖于第三方,因此 Exchange 服务器是没办法知道手机在哪儿的,当有新邮件的时候,Exchange 服务器不知道怎么去通知手机,这就需要手机端先发起一个连接 (ping),相当于架了座只能用 15分钟的桥,然后15分钟内的所有信息都通过这座桥来往。现在看来,至少在 iPhone 上,维护这个 ping 的连接相当的耗电。

至于 BlackBerry 的 BES 方式,BlackBerry 服务器可以通过运营商的 GSM 网络找到任何一架 BlackBerry 手机,因此它可以随时随地的把资料推送到任何一架 BlackBerry 手机上,而无需手机端建立/维持什么连接。我用 Blackberry 3 年多了,用电时间从一开始的7天到现在的3天 -- 这是电池正常耗损的结果。

当然要是把 MS Exchange 改成 Pull/Fetch 的方式,不要不断维持一个 15分钟的 ping,只是每隔一定时间去检查一次,耗电量会好很多,只是这样一来就失去即时推送的目的了,对那些需要随时随地收发 email 的人来说,还是 BlackBerry 实用些。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 07:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 50# integration


    Thanks for your information!
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 07:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
FP Tech Desk: BlackBerry Storm 3 revealed

BerryReview.com
First image of the BlackBerry Storm 3, expected to be officially unveiled next week

Jameson Berkow  September 21, 2010 – 9:34 am

Thanks to an anonymous tipster, BerryReview.com and Mike Abramsky of RBC Capital Markets, FP Tech Desk has just received an image of the upcoming BlackBerry Storm 3, pictured above.

The newest RIM smartphone, expected to be launched officially next week, will reportedly possess a 3.7 inch multi-touch screen and 8GB of internal memory. That compares to a 3.2 inch screen and 4GB of internal memory on the BlackBerry Torch 9800, released in New York just last month.
Mr. Abramsky said via email Tuesday morning that “unlike the recently launched Torch, this touchscreen BlackBerry appears as a leap forward from prior generations.”

He also noted the Storm 3′s touchscreen does not include RIM’s unique SurePress ‘clickable’ screen technology and from the photo appears thinner than the iPhone. Though it does appear to look much like an iPhone, Mr. Abramsky urges not to get confused by aesthetic coincidences.

“iPhone-centric blogs may call the Storm 3 an ‘iPhone clone,’ but we see the BlackBerry experience (push email, BBM) as the differentiator,” he wrote. “This would be another step in re-entering the high-end smartphone group.”

jberkow@nationalpost.com

.

Read more: http://business.financialpost.co ... aled/#ixzz10DcW7qP6
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-21 08:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
Storm 3 may give RIM muscle to fight iPhone
In this story:

Norm Betts/Bloomberg
Jim Balsillie, co-chief executive officer of Research In Motion Ltd.
Jameson Berkow, Financial Post · Tuesday, Sept. 21, 2010

Beset by declining market share among consumers and waning dominance in the business category, Research In Motion Ltd. has been searching for a light at the end of the tunnel. Now, at least one analyst is convinced the coming refreshment of the BlackBerry Storm touchscreen device will be that bright spot.

“Unlike the recently launched Torch, this touchscreen BlackBerry appears a leap forward from prior generations,” Mike Abramsky, a financial analyst with RBC Captial Markets, said via email.

Speculation abounds that a new Storm, and maybe even the BlackPad tablet device, will debut next week at DEVCON 2010, the Waterloo, Ont.-based company’s four-day developer conference in San Francisco. Images of the Storm 3, a smartphone, were leaked to several websites Tuesday.

“This device appears to be a new model line for RIM, which now appears to be pushing specs rather than an evolution of prior devices,” said Mr. Abramsky, who saw the leaked photos. He noted the new Storm could be released under a new product name.

Sporting a 3.7-inch touchscreen, no visible keyboard and an ultrathin profile, the new Storm looks to be a direct challenge to the iPhone 4 from Apple Inc.

But Mr. Abramsky said any perceived similarities are only skin-deep. He said that “iPhone-centric blogs may call the Storm 3 an ‘iPhone clone,’ but we see the BlackBerry experience as the differentiator. This would be another step in re-entering the high-end smartphone market.”

Colin Gillis, an analyst with BGC Partners Inc. in New York, said a new Storm release on Monday, the first day of DEVCON, is “very possible, [as] there is a fair amount of expectation for that.

“It would be a disappointment if we didn’t get some new hardware,” Mr. Gillis added.

The big news people are waiting for, said Mr. Gillis, is when exactly BlackBerry will launch its tablet device, rumoured to be called the BlackPad. To counter the launches of numerous other tablets running Google Inc.’s Android software, Mr. Gillis said RIM must offer one of its own, without delay.

“The amount of Android tablets that are marching their way towards market is unbelievable,” he said. “If [RIM] wants to avoid being lost in the noise, they pretty much have to do it next week,” Mr. Gillis said.

Samsung Electronics Corp. announced plans last week to launch its Android-based Galaxy Tab device across North America by early November. Meanwhile, several other manufacturers are also planning tablet launches for the holiday season.

Mr. Gillis said he is also expecting RIM to announce plans to acquire its own advertising network, Mobclix, during the conference.

Most analysts agree that RIM must release something next week if it has any hope of meeting ambitious sales goals for the present quarter. Black Friday, the big shopping day during the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, has historically been RIM’s best sales day of the year. BlackBerry will have a difficult time igniting consumer interest without offering a new gadget.

Mr. Gillis warned that should RIM fail to bring anything new and noteworthy to San Francisco, then Canada’s smartphone leader will see “no change from the slow fade track. They will be marching down the value curve to a lower price point,” he said.

Financial Post

jberkow@nationalpost.com
.

Read more: http://www.financialpost.com/Sto ... itter#ixzz10DpvXWTq
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 07:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 53# George25

testing ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 40# George25


    testing2...
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 40# George25


    testing3
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 25# George25


    testing4
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 22# George25


    testing5
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-9-22 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 23# George25


    test5
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