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楼主: greenback

Forex/Futures ST for Week 12/09- 12/14

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发表于 2012-12-12 01:26 AM | 显示全部楼层


greenback 发表于 2012-12-11 11:12 AM
Let's hope the breakout in AUD this time is real!

you were right, AUD broken out. Somehow, I am still skeptical of its rally, and may short it. haha.....

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 01:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
st-watcher 发表于 2012-12-11 09:26 PM
you were right, AUD broken out. Somehow, I am still skeptical of its rally, and may short it. haha ...

I guess AUD traders have been betting more FED printing ...
GC traders were wrong this time, or the guess of more printing was not uniform before the FED decision ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
Well pop comes fast and goes fast too ...

That's why we don't trade on the FED day: we closed the EURO long last night and didn't go back though we could go back in when it broke up from the consolidation range last night.

Note that TF barely moved, it stopped at the 100% MM target, which happens to be a lower high ... I don't want to read too much into it, but it shows another down leg target if we have a follow through bar next ...
tf.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
GC is so far okay ... let's hope it's only a higher low ...
gc.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
CL is getting very promising in building the bottom ...
cl.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
The AUD breakout should be a considered successful trade ...

aud.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
EURO actually overshot the 100% target ... right now at a key S/R level ...
eur.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-12 04:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds will consolidate here for a while at least. A key S/R level has reached in all three ...
zb.png
zn.png
zf.png
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发表于 2012-12-12 08:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢老大贡献

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 01:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
Not pleasant ... AUD is breaking down ...
aud.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 01:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
EURO is still hanging on before another breakout is possible.
eur.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds are saying that short-term inflation is not possible but long-term inflation is getting real.
zf.png
zn.png
zb.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 01:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
We had another breakdown in GC overnight ...

My last year's observation is confirming that GC traders must be a group of geniuses ... They tend to walk ahead of every one else, especially the dumb stock traders ...
gc.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 01:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
CL is doing good!
cl.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 02:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
Stocks are not that horrible, the previous necklines are being tested ... though TF is going ahead as always ...
es.png
tf.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 03:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-12-13 10:00 AM
Stocks are not that horrible, the previous necklines are being tested ... though TF is going ahead a ...

Well, ES is also breaking down ...
es.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 03:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
I feel sorry for the bulls who thought Fed can save them and jumped in yesterday without reading too much into the price actions ..
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发表于 2012-12-13 04:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-12-13 02:19 PM
I feel sorry for the bulls who thought Fed can save them and jumped in yesterday without reading too ...

Agree with you. My 2 cents --  this down leg is the same level as the 1st one from 147x down to 134x. It gives bear the chance to make the 147x the end of FED printing bull market from 03/2009.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-12-13 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
austinjoe 发表于 2012-12-13 12:28 PM
Agree with you. My 2 cents --  this down leg is the same level as the 1st one from 147x down to 13 ...

Wow! That would be nice, though I dare not to think that far ...
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发表于 2012-12-13 04:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-12-13 01:55 PM
We had another breakdown in GC overnight ...

My last year's observation is confirming that GC tr ...

"My last year's observation is confirming that GC traders must be a group of geniuses ... They tend to walk ahead of every one else, especially the dumb stock traders ..."

Can you please explain in more detailes?

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