现在发布明天做空计划

azzz

xz214

f16f16

lemontree02

开始跌了吗？

f16f16

Still hold.

bucks

Bulls defended hard today, and it's kind of tricky now which side will win. I am on sideline and watching.

f16f16

要有耐心。

coexist

csw2002

f16f16 发表于 2011-10-13 00:21
有一个大跌在前面，偶现在不过是在尝试catch这个能和夏天媲美的大跌。呵呵。

I suspect you are quoting from Attila's tweet. Well, just a warning that he was short from 700 all the way to 1000 (or higher) back in 2009. He's pulled down his blog, but it's still accessible from Internet Archive's wayback machine. You can check out all of his posts from those days. After the market reached 1000, he stopped posting and never even said when he covered. Admittedly, he seemed to have been reasonably accurate since 2010. There are still multiple errors. Once in Nov 2010 and other times in Jan 2011, each time he was on the wrong side of the market to the tune of 70 to 80 points. According to his blog, he eventually covered both at break-even, but are you willing to hold your position underwater for that long and for that much?

globe

f16f16 发表于 2011-10-13 21:30
要有耐心。

still hold?:)

f16f16

Got stop out @1211. Loss 6% this week. Too bad.

TopTen

f16f16 发表于 2011-10-11 20:30
如果这个计划失败，这周就没戏了。小心点，用1/3到1/2仓哈。

为啥: 这回牛很强嘛，逆势操作，火中取栗要 ...

既然看清了走势，为何要反做？

f16f16

偶不认为经济有明显好转：失业率这么高，foreclosure这么多，制造业和经济指标这么差。更不用说欧洲的烂摊子，银行的困境，要不这TED为啥不停的涨哩。股市这么无厘头的涨，实际是MM故意在squeeze散户做空者，数据表明现在做空的比例到达历史高点。当然这是MM一个很好的做多理由，他们也是这样做的。现在的股市是一个博弈游戏，而不是投资的场所。

f16f16

MM现在要是跌下去，将血本无回，所以只能继续涨来squeeze，直到散户割肉cover为止，可是偶是散户，灵活的操作仍然让他们计划落空。

George25

azzz

f16f16

偶仍然相信有大跌在前面。如果擒住了，应该有50%-100%，就像前一段擒住银子一样。

偶也准备为擒住这个机会付出代价。天下没有免费的午餐。下周再见。

silicon_beaver

"博弈游戏，而不是投资
深刻.

inosine

看es小时图，这一波看来像个圆顶，估计不会越过spx1230, 但有没有大跌还得看回调的力度，如果有个Fib38-50%的回调到1150-1170间还算合理，50%-100%的回调的概率应该不会大。

inosine

另外金银崩溃前的日图是典型的BARR pattern，和这次spx的圆顶pattern 不同。