07/15/2011 Trading Signals

vicvic

fara

fead

bokchoy888

wxw

开小差

thx, ding

Cobra

greenback 发表于 2011-7-15 18:40

今天盘中是你问是不是要hold short over weekend吧？今天收盘short，90%的机会是可以全身而退的。本月度类似的setup已经输了一单了，所以如果真的还是90%的胜率的话，到8月份，都不该再输这样的setup了，因为我是两个月两个月结算的。我们看周一怎么走吧，按理既使高开，也涨不到哪去，可能几率很大的是大低开。

greenback

回复 Cobra 的帖子

Yes, I was asking about the short position. I thought you would have decided to close it given the last two hours' action.

xz214

Cobra

greenback 发表于 2011-7-15 23:17
回复 Cobra 的帖子

Yes, I was asking about the short position. I thought you would have decided to c ...

周一就知道我的统计准不准了。上周五的close是90% winning rate的long and I took the bait，结果很惨啊。这个周五是90% winning rate的short，我因为手上的short肉不多，所以不敢take bait了，我的感觉是，周一我会非常后悔。

另外，很多人没有注意我昨天的暗示，这个周末我会给数据，Non-Stop的sell其实准确率高达92%！换句话说，可能性很小，今天是bottom。

umqasr

zeru001

Thanks!

greenback

Cobra 发表于 2011-7-15 23:33
周一就知道我的统计准不准了。上周五的close是90% winning rate的long and I took the bait，结果很惨啊。 ...

Cool! I'll experiment with the non-stop model in my 401K account that allows 2x ProFunds mutual funds ... Let's hope it's not too late to sell/short next week ...

greenback

Cobra 发表于 2011-7-15 23:33
周一就知道我的统计准不准了。上周五的close是90% winning rate的long and I took the bait，结果很惨啊。 ...

Let's keep our fingers crossed on the 90% winning rate ...

Cobra

greenback 发表于 2011-7-15 23:57
Cool! I'll experiment with the non-stop model in my 401K account that allows 2x ProFunds mutual fu ...

信号成功率高，不等于赚钱。统计和trading是两码事。Non-Stop没有很好的exit策略，所以成功率不高，经常win变lose，当然话说回来了，exit策略不好定，要么太早，要么太晚。你看了统计后就明白了，只是验证sell信号的可信度而已。

greenback

Cobra 发表于 2011-7-16 00:00
信号成功率高，不等于赚钱。统计和trading是两码事。Non-Stop没有很好的exit策略，所以成功率不高，经常w ...

Agree. Hope taking profit often will help ...

wyjhyd

萧秋水

小兵

dommy