11/23/2010 大盘回顾 （Intermediate-term Downtrend?）

vicvic

windy

胡同儿串子

jpm

thanks

wait and see if tomorrow's gap up is fadable

xz214

开小差

thx,ding

Cobra

Cobra,

Tomorrow is monthly OE. Probably it will mess up your setup. If you check the option OI, S ...
Ave 发表于 2010-11-23 21:34

Well, could be。但是你如果所有的信号都要考虑OE的情况或者其它什么特殊情况的话，我也没法做分析了，统计也没有用了，因为都可能是特例啊，所以我不会考虑这些。我有三个原则：

1. I see everything through the chart, I don't care if it sounds logical or not. So don't tell me, well, the world is going to end so this kind of breakout is a trap.

2. I try my best no to think that this time is different. Everyone knows that there aren't any 100% correct indicators, so many times we tend to think this time is different and therefore use this as an excuse to justify the trade that is against what the indicator says.

3. If an indicator works in the past, until proven wrong, I'll keep using it.

wai-po

thanks

Ed02

3x

萧秋水

辛苦了，多谢！

ahdou

非常感谢班长！顶，顶，顶！！！

hillcrest

谢谢！就等着筹码散落一地了

navybean

Thanks

Zephyr

PacificLegend

slcgh

Ave

Well, could be。但是你如果所有的信号都要考虑OE的情况或者其它什么特殊情况的话，我也没法做分析了 ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-11-23 22:04

Cobra,

其实option OI也是一个重要的indicator. 您不是也用CPC吗？ 比如说目前SPY和QQQQ 12月option的maxpain, SPY在114, QQQQ在48，正好就是fib 50%附近，应该不是巧合吧。我们TA是follow chart, 人家MM是提前布局，我们也要揣测敌人意图不是？至少也是旁证班长的中期看法正确嘛。

上周五SPY的pain在120,收120.29.

阳光明媚

我是谁

我是谁

Cobra,

Tomorrow is monthly OE. Probably it will mess up your setup. If you check the option OI, S ...
Ave 发表于 2010-11-23 21:34

    what kind of your OE are you referring?
SPY monthly was last week Friday....