股海纵横之棋王开挂（ER 系列）

zhizhengwd

恭喜棋王粉丝越来越多。也希望胡同兄弟姐妹来这里群策群力！

Bencat

棋王 发表于 2013-5-24 12:04 PM
赌季报没办法的，，，靠的是RP,,,
有时候很差的季报，空投纷纷冲进去short,,  结果也会把股价抬高，，， ...

建议棋王 多说 一点 how to prepare to trade post-ER if a big price change post-ER.  for instance, GME gap down open then went down steadily after GME had ER yesterday-- a very good chance for shorting in the morning.  

赌季报-- it is very hard for me.  it seems 棋王 like it so I'll watch it more.

  

棋王

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-24 11:05 PM
建议棋王 多说 一点 how to prepare to trade post-ER if a big price change post-ER.  for instance, ...

当你能找到一个比较好的方法，并且相对成功率比较高，或有好的应对方法，，那么就比较喜欢玩赌季报的刺激
但的确一个稳重的交易者应该尽可能的避开季报可能带来的风险，，，，
就像你说的，怎么准备post-er 后的机会，，，其实这是一个比较大的课题。。。
哦前面已经说过了，2点，
1： 研究季报，并有条件的去听听conf call,,看看其他分析师的解读，以及花街MM 是怎么背书的。
2：TA 技巧，，，寻找支撑，阻力，这就是交易的机会。

回答比较泛泛，，希望以后有实战可以来探讨。。
比如今早的p 就走的相当经典，，非常的TA,,,,

wsjboy

130524 1e GME, P, SHLD,  


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GME, svcs,GameStop Corp.,electrncs strs, in sp500_set
alpha 68.10,beta 0.95,a_vol 3161, div 3.43 -,er 130523 ,insi 2.25 28.0,inst 0.0 0.77,
rating         Sell        -        [0100 2]        0.40        1        0
        DTT        -        -        FFF        -        FFF        CFF        CFF        -        -
yahoo google fool finviz
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
P, svcs,Pandora Media, Inc.,broadcstng-rad
alpha 65.90,beta 0.00,a_vol 5643, er 130523 ,insi 2.14 -29.48,inst 94.5 4.86,
rating         Strong Buy        -        [1111 2]        0.40        0        0
        -        -        -        -        FFF        -        -        -        DTT        CFF
yahoo google fool finviz
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
SHLD, svcs,Sears Holdings Corporation,departmnt strs
alpha -4.70,beta 2.04,a_vol 721, er 130523 ,debt 1.13,insi 0.12 -98.18,inst 72.06 -0.23,
rating         Sell        -        [0000 -2]        0.30        2        0
        -        -        -        -        CFF        -        DTT        -        -        -
yahoo google fool finviz
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

wsjboy

those above are 3 stocks discussed here, all ER on 23rd. None of them was on my watch list, thus I did not play them.

Bencat

wsjboy 发表于 2013-5-24 11:20 PM
130524 1e GME, P, SHLD,  

good charts.  I think, there are more shorting chances for GME and P next week. what do you think?

wsjboy

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-25 12:27 AM
good charts.  I think, there are more shorting chances for GME and P next week. what do you think?

I am kind of agree, P and GME are short candidates. However, my success rate on shorting is very  low, therefore, I practically avoid shorting.

Bencat

wsjboy 发表于 2013-5-24 11:35 PM
I am kind of agree, P and GME are short candidates. However, my success rate on shorting is very   ...

I see.  you may try shorting in our HT game.

wsjboy

If I had set mines on these three. I guess, the GME mine would be detonated, I would loss big. The SHLD mine would be detonated today, I would make money. The P mine would NOT be detonated.

水明善

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-25 12:27 AM
good charts.  I think, there are more shorting chances for GME and P next week. what do you think?

如果GME/SHLD反弹上来，可能会斗胆空一下。

wsjboy

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-25 12:39 AM
I see.  you may try shorting in our HT game.

Thank you for your suggestion. However, I found out the JJ game is NOT my cup of tea. The reasons:

1) I talked the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principal to Diffusion军师 before. I am disturbed when people are watching.
2) My trading style is frequent in/out many stocks. I don't have time to do both for my real/fake accounts.
3) I don't think I have a good algorithm to choose shorting candidates yet. I thought I had, it tested OK at the beginning. But later, it failed many times.

Bencat

wsjboy 发表于 2013-5-24 11:40 PM
If I had set mines on these three. I guess, the GME mine would be detonated, I would loss big. The S ...

Yes, these stocks are not suitable for your way of "埋地雷".  it is a way how to react to what you see in price.

Diffusion

wsjboy

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-25 12:57 AM
Yes, these stocks are not suitable for your way of "埋地雷".  it is a way how to react to what you ...

I would NOT play these three stocks anyway, because they don't fit my watching list standard.

Bencat

wsjboy 发表于 2013-5-24 11:55 PM
Thank you for your suggestion. However, I found out the JJ game is NOT my cup of tea. The reasons: ...

Agree, keep your own way for trading.  every body has his own way to be successful in stock market.  

wsjboy

However, by participating the discussion, I think I have learned a lot here. I am so glad I was/am here today.

棋王

据哦观察，花男的操作方式应该是以swing 单纯抄低作多为主，时间段为1,2天到1,2星期，，

而抄低的选择对象不论，抄低的方式就是“埋地雷”点位是经过他自己计算的，，

棋王

Bencat 发表于 2013-5-24 11:57 PM
Yes, these stocks are not suitable for your way of "埋地雷".  it is a way how to react to what you ...

哦门这里讨论的匹克不适合他，，，哦门讨论的是er 匹克，具有强烈的波动性，，，
对哦门来说就是寻找上上下下交易的机会，这个和他埋地雷方式完全不一样。

wsjboy

棋王: 你的观察只有 less than 50% close or correct， the other 50% you don't know. However, I am not going to describe my trading method in detail here.

thank you for your observation, thanks!

棋王

wsjboy 发表于 2013-5-25 12:12 AM
棋王: 你的观察只有 less than 50% close or correct， the other 50% you don't know. However, I am not  ...

houhou,,,,周末愉快。。。