02/08/2011 白天灌水

greenback

U.S. home prices dropped another 5.5% Y/Y in December, the fifth straight Y/Y decline and the sixth straight month-to-month drop, according to CoreLogic's Home Price Index. The index is only 0.07% above the March 2009 low, and Calculated Risk expects a new post-bubble low with the January release.

Cobra

班长，我手贱，进了TZA今天，看上去今天没戏了，我是不是应该放到明天再走？
lqiantobe 发表于 2011-2-8 14:45

    不知道。但是可以等两天，赌这个是回测前高，然后转势下跌。你需要比较好的运气才行。

Cobra

U.S. home prices dropped another 5.5% Y/Y in December, the fifth straight Y/Y decline and the sixth  ...
greenback 发表于 2011-2-8 14:46

    TLT暴跌。

Forevergreen

U.S. home prices dropped another 5.5% Y/Y in December, the fifth straight Y/Y decline and the sixth  ...
greenback 发表于 2011-2-8 14:46

    haha, you are also reading the seekingalpha.com?

greenback

TLT暴跌。
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-8 14:48

Housing data will be worse in the coming months ...

ninemao

今天美元咋样？

greenback

haha, you are also reading the seekingalpha.com?
Forevergreen 发表于 2011-2-8 14:49

Yeah ...

lqiantobe

不知道。但是可以等两天，赌这个是回测前高，然后转势下跌。你需要比较好的运气才行。
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-8 14:48

   都这么说了，我哪里敢留亚

tst2007

发生啥了?

lehldk

发生啥了?
tst2007 发表于 2011-2-8 14:51

    没事，啥事没有。象真的一样

greenback

发生啥了?
tst2007 发表于 2011-2-8 14:51

I think the market responded positively to the low inflation comment by Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart.

Cobra

这里下跌，跟我早上喊low was in有mirror的意思，都是first break trend line then back test the previous extremes，只不过早上是测试前low，现在是测试前high。早上low was in是low risk，因为trend is obviously up，但是现在赌这个是反转，反正我是觉得风险非常大，看吧。

google

班长，我手贱，进了TZA今天，看上去今天没戏了，我是不是应该放到明天再走？
lqiantobe 发表于 2011-2-8 14:45

这么明显的上升趋势干嘛要做空？当熊熊没啥光荣的，赚钱才光荣

greenback

Here comes a negative Fed comment, and we are in a pullback ...

Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher: "We are pushing the envelope with the current round of Treasury purchases... it is hard for me to envision a scenario where I would not use my voting position this year to formally dissent should the FOMC recommend another tranche of monetary accommodation."

Cobra

都这么说了，我哪里敢留亚
lqiantobe 发表于 2011-2-8 14:50

    我是会等一两天的。进都进了，哪有马上就改注意的？

greenback

这里下跌，跟我早上喊low was in有mirror的意思，都是first break trend line then back test the previous ...
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-8 14:57

Cobra, can you comment why the morning call of "low was in" was less risky?

Simpletrader

TLT暴跌。
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-8 14:48

are these two correlated?

greenback

xlf is too strong to expect a reversal of spx ... maybe flat until close ...

ppteam

anyone plans to buy in small dip in daily chart?

Cobra

Cobra, can you comment why the morning call of "low was in" was less risky?
greenback 发表于 2011-2-8 15:00

    昨天暴涨，收盘走了牛旗，一般这样的暴涨，不会是一天wonder，所以今天至少也要测试昨天的high啊。然后早上又是个标准的测试昨天的low，这是个low risk bet哈，所以早上我说low可能in了。现在硬生生地说high was in，只有一个pattern的证明，就是retest the previous high，再没有其他依据了，何况是against trend，两下比较，早上那个risk lower的多哈。