熊瞎子上戏台

poohbear

回复 18# poohbear

Today, short term down sign  confirmed,  should see follow through down day in this week,   guess  it will  go down for a new low  before   FOMC next week,      

by waiting down break day,  may sell tops and buy bottoms  at the  阻力 & 支撑   range  ( SMA20:1185 --- 1205 ), 现在还是在上演前奏曲

ppteam

abaqus

where is the  阻力 & 支撑 range? thanks,

poohbear

回复 21# poohbear


2nd touch SMA20 and bump up, now  it may be the last jump wave before it break down SMA20

hillcrest

回复  poohbear


2nd touch SMA20 and bump up, now  it may be the last jump wave before it break  ...
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-22 18:27

    I wish you are right this time.

abaqus

I wish you are right this time.
hillcrest 发表于 2010-4-22 19:02

    me too...

poohbear

回复 24# poohbear
牛牛蹦了一星期，没蹦多高，

abaqus

回复  poohbear
牛牛蹦了一星期，没蹦多高，
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-23 17:37

    you will see higher...

poohbear

回复 28# abaqus

看样子下一次再深跌一下, 牛势削的差不多了，短期就蹦不了新高了

abaqus

回复  abaqus

看样子下一次再深跌一下，短期就蹦不了新高了
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-23 17:59

    hard to tell..
   market is very bullish now..
   all dips are bought..
   
   I shorted several times, covered with small profits..
   sad to say that my longs made much more than my shorts now..

   keep watching

poohbear

only NYA bearish( NYA may not affected much by AAPL ), all others index  bullish,  today is 6th day after 1st down sell day.  it looks like a classic top, there are 5 down days in past 8 days with volume above MA50. and 2 big up days  with volume less

poohbear

回复 31# poohbear

估计大盘正进入１个月左右的调整期，步调的上升应开始蹒跚， 横盘，甚至下跌

today is 7th day after GS big down sell day , we get the follow through big  down day,

TRIN value changing big   as Jan 2008 and Mar 2004,   uptrend from Fed 8, 2010 almost broken.

now 可以宣布大盘即将转向了

poohbear

回复 32# poohbear

K, 极具戏剧性 ,  both 2 times news release at  about  10:30am, one on Friday, one on Tuesday

由此可见， build 大顶部,底部, 都是MM赢利目标明确, 精心设计，精心施工， 操纵资金资源大纵深N次渐强配置，一波比一波更强力,更恐怖,更疯狂, ， 切不可掉以轻心， 冒然 逆海啸, 空极顶，抢反弹，抄大底

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S&P Downgrades Greece to Junk; Portugal Also Cut

Europe's debt crisis worsened ominously Tuesday when two financially troubled countries— Greece and Portugal—saw their credit ratings downgraded as markets sold off their debt.
Greece was downgraded to junk status by Standard & Poor's, which lowered Portugal's rating as well.


INDU  11,065, -140.11, -1.25%)  fell 147 points to 11,059.96.
SPX  1,193, -18.77, -1.55%)  shed 19.54 points to 1,192.51.
COMP  2,487, -35.74, -1.42%)  fell 36.03 points to 2,486.85.

poohbear

回复  18#  poohbear

Today, short term down sign  confirmed,  should see follow through down day , guess  it will  go down for a new low  before   FOMC next week
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-19 17:15

  new low before  tomorrow 2:15pm FOMC ,   can not believe this  becomes true,

  but think it  closes  to shortterm bottom,  could reverse to shorterm uptrend soon,   since today is extreme.  maybe build a SHS,

or 很可能再玩老一套， 吹喇叭 (best for big banks make big trading money),  把散牛散熊折腾成疯子

if  neckline breaks, it could down to SPX1150

poohbear

回复 34# poohbear

by compare Jan 2010 top ,  this top looks much biger than last one, and it has broken down,  may retest SPX1200, then big fall will come

poohbear

回复 35# poohbear



SPX pullback target

1st   SMA50 May
2nd  SMA200 July

poohbear

回复 36# poohbear


compare with June 23-24,  2009;  Jan 26-27 2010  after FOMC,   guess it may start drop no late from next Thusday   5/6/2010 to  5/14/2010
   


2010 FOMC Meetings
January         26-27        
March         16        
April         27-28        
June         22-23                
August         10                
September         21                
November         2-3                
December         14                

Back to year navigation
2009 FOMC Meetings
January         16 (Unscheduled)                
January         27-28         Statement        
February         7 (Unscheduled)                
March         17-18         Statement        
April         28-29         Statement        
June         3 (Unscheduled)                
June         23-24         Statement        
August         11-12         Statement        
September         22-23         Statement        
November         3-4         Statement        
December         15-16         Statement

claudio

赞

回复  poohbear

by compare Jan 2010 top ,  this top looks much biger than last one, and it has br ...
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-28 07:59

poohbear

回复 37# poohbear



at today's close,  SPX 1min 5min 10min 15min 30min 60min 100min charts  all  EMA20X50 cross  go  DOWN!   let see Monday how it run.

hillcrest

回复  poohbear



at today's close,  SPX 1min 5min 10min 15min 30min 60min 100min charts  all  ...
poohbear 发表于 2010-4-30 22:22

    bring it on