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发表于 2009-12-10 03:07 PM
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Who win, who lose?
The winners for transaction tax are
1. MMs, because they will be exempt and they gain more on ASK-BID SPREADS;
2. Big money, because they can manipulate the market more easily;
3. Unions, because many non-union workers adopt 401K retirement plan
typically in mutual funds, while union members have the traditional
pension plan. Thus non-union workers suffer a lot more than union workers
and they will be forced to join the union.
4. Democratic party in long run, because money will leave US regardless whether
all the nations will have transaction taxes all together or not.
Thus people must rely more on democratic party.
The losers are
1. Traders especially retail traders, because most of them lose money
and they will also have to pay this tax.
2. Workers with 401K.
3. IRS, because traders stop trading and IRS will lose most of its revenue.
Buy and hold investors pay very little taxes. The way IRS makes money
from traders is
to tax winners at high rate and gives only a little bit back to losers.
Especially, in the next few years, since most investors have lost money,
they will not pay any taxes at all. Once traders leave, IRS will not
get this revenue any more. For the time being,
many traders pay many times more taxes than middle class families.
Since the trading volume will be much lower, such a legislation is never
meant to generate any real revenue.
4. Obama administration, because hurting the economy is always bad
for the administration.
Finally, since most of us here have a choice to go back to China
to trade (although there is a small stamp tax there, there is not capital
gain tax),our situation is a little bit better than most native US traders. |
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