06/28/2016 Live Update

luckyfox

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-28 11:01 AM
the rebound should make new day high $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/viewtopic.php? ...

严重同意！

lite1067

Cobra 发表于 2016-6-28 11:01 AM
the rebound should make new day high $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/viewtopic.php? ...

hope so !!

trend

more likely M head  

luckyfox

做空的，不放过这里的任何一个点位，刚刚的地方有结果，就被打下来2个点，这里如果能震荡，后面一定要去试图突破早上的高点

mitwkwk

只要今天不跌下去补gap，就是岛状反转，熊熊挂了

luckyfox

mitwkwk 发表于 2016-6-28 12:05 PM
只要今天不跌下去补gap，就是岛状反转，熊熊挂了

言之过早啊，我看日线的指标，都还有点没到位，后面还有反复

luckystar2006

Despite those big events such as FOMC and BREXIT, I noticed a close relationship between market and seasonality for the last 3-month (check below chart.)  Should this relationship continue like this, I guess market will continue to go up for the next few days.  Again, this is just for speculation, not according to trading signals.

lite1067

这个 XIV 和 VIIX今天表现差别为什么如此的大。。。。一般不会差2 percentage points 的。

lite1067

牛牛真怂啊。就看看盘尾能不能硬一下了。

ninemao

油油好样的，加油

风行过

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-6-28 12:17 PM
Despite those big events such as FOMC and BREXIT, I noticed a close relationship between market and  ...

hi laoda, what is this seasonality chart? based on past price action average? thanks

风行过

lite1067 发表于 2016-6-28 01:04 PM
这个 XIV 和 VIIX今天表现差别为什么如此的大。。。。一般不会差2 percentage points 的。

I am no expert on this, but if you want me to guess it might to do with VIX future pricing contract price change. something about risk factor/volatility might have dropped.

lite1067

风行过 发表于 2016-6-28 01:29 PM
I am no expert on this, but if you want me to guess it might to do with VIX future pricing contrac ...

我知道XIV大概怎么算的。

但是XIV 和 VIIX 这个一对应该是一正一负，幅度相当。

风行过

TLT weekly chart look like it still has some more room to go up, which coincide with Crobra's theory that equity has another leg down.

lite1067

UVXY 今天是彻底 crash 了。昨天after hours 它干嘛涨了10%？？今天跌了18%。。。一正一负就是接近30%了。一天啊。。。。

风行过

lite1067 发表于 2016-6-28 01:32 PM
我知道XIV大概怎么算的。

但是XIV 和 VIIX 这个一对应该是一正一负，幅度相当。

会不会原来计算时考虑到brexit 的因素，但up or down risk was 偏向一方。现在both up and down 恢复到正常水平？

lite1067

风行过 发表于 2016-6-28 01:38 PM
会不会原来计算时考虑到brexit 的因素，但up or down risk was 偏向一方。现在both up and down 恢复到正 ...

应该不是。除非ETF trustee can't create new shares.

uvxy

uvxy会不会盘后再玩一次？

风行过

lite1067 发表于 2016-6-28 01:34 PM
UVXY 今天是彻底 crash 了。昨天after hours 它干嘛涨了10%？？今天跌了18%。。。一正一负就是接近30%了。一 ...

如果你排错队。真的很痛苦。

uvxy

lite1067 发表于 2016-6-28 02:34 PM
UVXY 今天是彻底 crash 了。昨天after hours 它干嘛涨了10%？？今天跌了18%。。。一正一负就是接近30%了。一 ...

昨天其实该暴涨的， 所以很冤。