Bear's hope????

luckystar2006

trend 发表于 2016-4-20 09:52 AM
so this time will you hold put for intro-day swing only or over night?

I plan to hold my trades for next few days.

Hutong9999

trend

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-20 11:26 AM
I plan to hold my trades for next few days.

wish your put come out win

trend

good signs come out, "engine" partly stopped, don't know it's rest or just dead

yanzi

This time the price action is different from the last two bear markets.

luckyfox

大家注意油，油好像是冲2014开始下跌模式，在那之前2012和2013，美股都在快速增长。从2014油下跌开始，SP开始减速，2015走平开始下跌，到了2016，油跌到26然后反弹，SP从1800一直涨到现在接近新高。。。但是油才从26反弹到43左右。。。如果油持续反弹，那么长期趋势SP就会往上走，震荡上行。。。FED加息感觉就是在哄大家玩耍。。。根本就不会加。。。市场好的时候，它就看数据，数据好的时候，它就看市场。。。加息和油反弹也许能对冲掉。。。最让我吃惊的是从1800反弹到现在，没有像样的连续几天的回调，这是多大的力量在拉着市场前进啊。。。最算2012和2013年大涨，也有回调然后出新高，现在的均线并没有走好，除非就是这么一直上涨把所有的短期均线都拉到长期之上，那就不是2138这么简单了，至少要拉到2200.。。。。2011年也是拉起来回踩，再起来再回踩，然后均线才多头排列震荡上行的。欧洲和日本的量化，不会无限制的对膨胀有刺激，但是一但停止量化，那么后果将是灾难性的。

trend

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-20 03:53 PM
大家注意油，油好像是冲2014开始下跌模式，在那之前2012和2013，美股都在快速增长。从2014油下跌开始，SP开 ...

fed is the big MM, they can play this up to their plan: first bull market to attract hot money, as well as raise rate to let those money stay longer. they want both "fish" and "bear foot". WS is their tool through either manual or machine trade, they share the profit.  

开小差

Hutong9999

oldpigwang

Bear's hope 现身了。

luckystar2006

oldpigwang 发表于 2016-4-21 08:53 AM
Bear's hope 现身了。

Yup~~~  I'm 100% sure that there is a lower low this afternoon or tomorrow, should market rebound from here.

By the way, this chart suggests momentum on the downside today.

oldpigwang

按照几率，跌到fomc第一天。

luckystar2006

oldpigwang 发表于 2016-4-21 09:16 AM
按照几率，跌到fomc第一天。

Very possible.  Plus, seasonality for April month end and beginning of May is quite bullish.  Maybe, that's going to be the last push up before volatility returns for summer period.

Hutong9999

熊熊福音

风行过

in the past, the line has turn down already. this time it just start to turn. right?

though I have no ideal what is this line for

luckystar2006

Gotta make a run to hospital now.  

GLTA

luckystar2006

BTW, I'm very certain that this morning's low will be tested by this afternoon and we'll see at least a lower low today and tomorrow.

风行过

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-21 10:03 AM
Gotta make a run to hospital now.  

GLTA

yes, those lines are like spaghetti to me

Take care to you and your family.  thanks

sorry

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-21 10:03 AM
Gotta make a run to hospital now.  

GLTA

wish you all the best, GL